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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Los Angeles Angels have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Edwin Moscoso) calling pitches in today's game.

Angel Stadium has the 3rd-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.

Jose Berrios will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Jose Berrios allowed a whopping 6 earned runs in his last GS.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The #6 field in the majors for suppressing BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.

Jose Berrios is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #7 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this matchup.

Out of every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.

This year, Jose Berrios has added a new pitch to his repertoire (a slider), mixing it in on 25.1% of his pitches.

Jose Berrios is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -185

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 135

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Generating 17.4 outs per GS this year on average, Jose Berrios falls in the 84th percentile.

The #6 field in the majors for suppressing BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.

Jose Berrios is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #7 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this matchup.

Out of every team today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.

This year, Jose Berrios has added a new pitch to his repertoire (a slider), mixing it in on 25.1% of his pitches.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Los Angeles Angels have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Edwin Moscoso) calling pitches in today's game.

Angel Stadium has the 3rd-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.

Jose Berrios will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Jose Berrios allowed a whopping 6 earned runs in his last GS.

Jose Berrios is projected to have 17.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 115

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jorge Soler, Kyren Paris, Logan O'Hoppe).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Angel Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in the majors for strikeouts.

This year, Jose Berrios has added a new pitch to his repertoire (a slider), mixing it in on 25.1% of his pitches.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Edwin Moscoso) calling pitches in today's game.

Jose Berrios will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

Jose Berrios's fastball velocity has decreased 1.4 mph this year (92.1 mph) below where it was last season (93.5 mph).

Jose Berrios's 2178-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 23rd percentile among all starters.

Considering the 0.46 discrepancy between Jose Berrios's 7.97 K/9 and his 7.51 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year in terms of strikeouts and should negatively regress in future games.

Jose Berrios is projected to have 4.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

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José Berríos Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-108)
un 5.5 (-129)
ov 5.5 (-110)
un 5.5 (-130)
-
ov 5.5 (-110)
un 5.5 (-130)
ov 5.5 (-106)
un 5.5 (-129)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (103)
un 2.5 (-143)
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-135)
-
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-145)
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-137)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-169)
un 17.5 (123)
ov 17.5 (-175)
un 17.5 (130)
ov 17.5 (-164)
un 17.5 (125)
ov 17.5 (-165)
un 17.5 (115)
ov 17.5 (-174)
un 17.5 (126)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (119)
un 5.5 (-157)
ov 5.5 (115)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 4.5 (-154)
un 4.5 (120)
ov 5.5 (115)
un 5.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (112)
un 5.5 (-154)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-139)
un 1.5 (100)
ov 1.5 (-140)
un 1.5 (100)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-137)
un 1.5 (100)

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