Jesús Luzardo Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -160

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Chicago Cubs have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in this game.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jesus Luzardo today.

Out of all starting pitchers, Jesus Luzardo's fastball spin rate of 2231 rpm grades out in the 24th percentile this year.

With a 1.83 discrepancy between Jesus Luzardo's 2.08 ERA and his 3.91 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and ought to see negative regression in future games.

Chicago Cubs batters collectively rank 10th- in baseball for power this year when using their 9.7% Barrel%.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jesus Luzardo in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Chicago Cubs today holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .325, which is a fair amount worse than their actual wOBA of .349 this year.

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Chicago Cubs offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the luckiest offense in MLB this year.

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Vic Carapazza) calling pitches today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 5th-worst venue in the majors for walks.

Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -160

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jesus Luzardo in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.

Compared to the average pitcher, Jesus Luzardo has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an additional 3.3 adjusted pitches each game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Chicago Cubs today holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .325, which is a fair amount worse than their actual wOBA of .349 this year.

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Chicago Cubs offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the luckiest offense in MLB this year.

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Vic Carapazza) calling pitches today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Chicago Cubs have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in this game.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jesus Luzardo today.

Out of all starting pitchers, Jesus Luzardo's fastball spin rate of 2231 rpm grades out in the 24th percentile this year.

With a 1.83 discrepancy between Jesus Luzardo's 2.08 ERA and his 3.91 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and ought to see negative regression in future games.

Chicago Cubs batters collectively rank 10th- in baseball for power this year when using their 9.7% Barrel%.

Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 16.9 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -105

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Jesus Luzardo in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.

Compared to the average pitcher, Jesus Luzardo has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an additional 3.3 adjusted pitches each game.

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Vic Carapazza) calling pitches today.

Wrigley Field profiles as the #4 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level on the slate today at 47°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The Chicago Cubs (20.7 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy batting order of all teams on the slate.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

The Chicago Cubs have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in this game.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jesus Luzardo today.

Out of all starting pitchers, Jesus Luzardo's fastball spin rate of 2231 rpm grades out in the 24th percentile this year.

Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 6 Strikeouts in today's game.