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Jesús Luzardo

Philadelphia Phillies

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Philadelphia Phillies

01:05 PM

Jun 11, 2025

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Chicago Cubs

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Charlie Ramos) calling pitches in this game.

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 9th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Citizens Bank Park.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 84°.

The Chicago Cubs have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game, which is especially troublesome given his large platoon split.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Jesus Luzardo's overall pitching ability grades out in the 87th percentile out of all SPs in MLB currently.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.

Given that groundball pitchers have a big edge over groundball batters, Jesus Luzardo and his 34.2% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot in this matchup squaring off against 3 opposing GB batters.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Jesus Luzardo will hold that advantage today.

Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -111

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jesus Luzardo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Throwing 97.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Jesus Luzardo checks in at the 97th percentile.

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.

Given that groundball pitchers have a big edge over groundball batters, Jesus Luzardo and his 34.2% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot in this matchup squaring off against 3 opposing GB batters.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Jesus Luzardo will hold that advantage today.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The Chicago Cubs (19.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone set of batters on the slate.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Charlie Ramos) calling pitches in this game.

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 84°.

The Chicago Cubs have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game, which is especially troublesome given his large platoon split.

Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -140

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: 108

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Jesus Luzardo's overall pitching ability grades out in the 87th percentile out of all SPs in MLB currently.

Throwing 97.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Jesus Luzardo checks in at the 97th percentile.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.

Given that groundball pitchers have a big edge over groundball batters, Jesus Luzardo and his 34.2% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot in this matchup squaring off against 3 opposing GB batters.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Charlie Ramos) calling pitches in this game.

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 9th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Citizens Bank Park.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 84°.

The Chicago Cubs have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game, which is especially troublesome given his large platoon split.

Jesus Luzardo is projected to have 16.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Jesús Luzardo Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (121)
un 5.5 (-164)
ov 5.5 (125)
un 5.5 (-175)
-
ov 5.5 (125)
un 5.5 (-175)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-150)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-106)
un 2.5 (-127)
ov 2.5 (-110)
un 2.5 (-115)
-
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-145)
ov 2.5 (-105)
un 2.5 (-125)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 16.5 (-129)
un 16.5 (-103)
ov 16.5 (-115)
un 16.5 (-110)
ov 16.5 (-140)
un 16.5 (108)
ov 16.5 (-135)
un 16.5 (-105)
ov 16.5 (-130)
un 16.5 (100)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (101)
un 5.5 (-133)
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-130)
ov 5.5 (-102)
un 5.5 (-124)
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-130)
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-130)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-183)
un 1.5 (132)
ov 1.5 (-185)
un 1.5 (130)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-180)
un 1.5 (135)

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