Miami Marlins
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: 115
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -155
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The Atlanta Braves projected batting order grades out as the 2nd-best on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.
The Atlanta Braves have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games
It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Lance Barksdale) in charge of the strike zone in this game.
The #2 venue in the league for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Janson Junk (34% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Atlanta's projected lineup.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
In the league, LoanDepot Park's right field fences are the 4th-deepest.
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.
The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.
Janson Junk is an extreme flyball pitcher (34% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #24 HR venue in the league in this matchup.
Janson Junk will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Janson Junk is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: -105
Strikeouts 3.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 10th-best field in the majors for strikeouts.
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.
The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.
Janson Junk will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Janson Junk in the 8th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Janson Junk is projected to throw 74 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers on the slate.
It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Lance Barksdale) in charge of the strike zone in this game.
Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Janson Junk (34% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Atlanta's projected lineup.
Janson Junk has had some very good luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling an 8.22 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.59 — a 1.63 K/9 deviation.
Janson Junk is projected to have 3.1 Strikeouts in today's game.
Hits Allowed | |
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![]() | ov 5.5 (122) un 5.5 (-167) |
![]() | ov 5.5 (120) un 5.5 (-170) |
![]() | - |
![]() | ov 5.5 (120) un 5.5 (-165) |
![]() | ov 5.5 (125) un 5.5 (-165) |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | |
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![]() | ov 2.5 (114) un 2.5 (-156) |
![]() | ov 2.5 (115) un 2.5 (-155) |
![]() | - |
![]() | ov 2.5 (110) un 2.5 (-160) |
![]() | ov 2.5 (115) un 2.5 (-150) |