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Jameson Taillon

Chicago Cubs

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Chicago Cubs

02:20 PM

Jun 1, 2025

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Cincinnati Reds

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -155

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Jameson Taillon gave up a staggering 6 earned runs in his last outing.

Jameson Taillon has used his cutter 11.6% less often this year (13.4%) than he did last season (25%).

Among all starting pitchers, Jameson Taillon's fastball velocity of 91.8 mph ranks in the 23rd percentile this year.

With a 1.39 gap between Jameson Taillon's 3.86 ERA and his 5.25 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should see worse results the rest of the season.

Jameson Taillon has compiled a 5.25 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher's control) this year, grading out in the 12th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 4th-worst park in the league for walks.

Among all parks, Wrigley Field's RF fences are the 5th-deepest.

In the majors, the 7th-highest fences are at Wrigley Field.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for pitching on the slate today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for mound aces.

Jameson Taillon is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -200

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 150

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Tallying 17.2 outs per game per started this year on average, Jameson Taillon places in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 4th-worst park in the league for walks.

Among all parks, Wrigley Field's RF fences are the 5th-deepest.

In the majors, the 7th-highest fences are at Wrigley Field.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for pitching on the slate today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Jameson Taillon gave up a staggering 6 earned runs in his last outing.

Jameson Taillon has used his cutter 11.6% less often this year (13.4%) than he did last season (25%).

Among all starting pitchers, Jameson Taillon's fastball velocity of 91.8 mph ranks in the 23rd percentile this year.

With a 1.39 gap between Jameson Taillon's 3.86 ERA and his 5.25 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should see worse results the rest of the season.

Jameson Taillon has compiled a 5.25 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher's control) this year, grading out in the 12th percentile.

Jameson Taillon is projected to have 17 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 116

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -148

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Cincinnati Reds have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Elly De La Cruz, Tyler Stephenson, Will Benson, Matt McLain).

Wrigley Field projects as the #6 ballpark in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for pitching on the slate today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for mound aces.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Jameson Taillon will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

In his last game started, Jameson Taillon struggled when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 1 Ks.

Jameson Taillon has used his cutter 11.6% less often this year (13.4%) than he did last season (25%).

Among all starting pitchers, Jameson Taillon's fastball velocity of 91.8 mph ranks in the 23rd percentile this year.

Jameson Taillon is projected to have 5.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Jameson Taillon Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-142)
un 4.5 (104)
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (100)
-
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (105)
ov 4.5 (-135)
un 4.5 (105)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-154)
un 1.5 (114)
ov 1.5 (-155)
un 1.5 (115)
-
ov 1.5 (-160)
un 1.5 (110)
ov 1.5 (-145)
un 1.5 (115)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-195)
un 17.5 (142)
ov 17.5 (-205)
un 17.5 (150)
ov 18.5 (175)
un 18.5 (-240)
ov 17.5 (-210)
un 17.5 (145)
ov 17.5 (-180)
un 17.5 (135)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (111)
un 5.5 (-145)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-145)
ov 5.5 (116)
un 5.5 (-148)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-145)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-140)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (160)
un 1.5 (-220)
ov 1.5 (155)
un 1.5 (-220)
-
-
ov 1.5 (165)
un 1.5 (-220)

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