Jacob deGrom MLB projections and prop bets for Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels on Sep 27, 2024
Jacob deGrom Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 1.5 over: 143
- Earned Runs 1.5 under: -199
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
The #6 venue in baseball for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
Among all stadiums, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Jacob deGrom will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.
Jacob deGrom has been lucky since the start of last season, putting up a 2.43 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 3.31 — a 0.88 deviation.
As a team, Los Angeles Angels hitters have shined when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), rating 4th-best in MLB.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
Jacob deGrom projects as the 9th-best starting pitcher in the game currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The 2nd-weakest projected batting order of the day in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.
Among all parks, Angel Stadium's left field dimensions are the 10th-deepest.
Jacob deGrom will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters in this matchup.
Jacob deGrom performed well in his previous game started and gave up 1 ER.
Projection For Jacob deGrom Earned Runs Prop Bet
Jacob deGrom is projected to have 1.5 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
Jacob deGrom Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -140
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
As it relates to his strikeout skill, Jacob deGrom projects as the 9th-best starter in the game currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Los Angeles Angels have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Logan O'Hoppe, Jack Lopez, Niko Kavadas, Mickey Moniak).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 3rd-best field in baseball for strikeouts.
Jacob deGrom will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters in this matchup.
Jacob deGrom's 97.9-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 100th percentile out of all SPs.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Jacob deGrom to have a pitch count in this game, projecting a maximum of 77 pitches.
Jacob deGrom will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.
With a 1.85 gap between Jacob deGrom's 13.13 K/9 and his 11.28 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and figures to perform worse in future games.
Projection For Jacob deGrom Strikeouts Prop Bet
Jacob deGrom is projected to have 6.3 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
