Jacob deGrom Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: -150

Strikeouts 6.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Jacob deGrom projects as the 14th-best starting pitcher in the league currently when estimating his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Baltimore Orioles have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ramon Laureano, Gary Sanchez, Colton Cowser).

Among all SPs, Jacob deGrom's fastball velocity of 96.5 mph grades out in the 94th percentile this year.

Among all starters, Jacob deGrom's fastball spin rate of 2513 rpm is in the 93rd percentile this year.

Jacob deGrom has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, posting an 8.86 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.47 — a 1.6 K/9 discrepancy.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jacob deGrom is projected to throw 85 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least on the slate.

Chad Fairchild profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 90°.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jacob deGrom in today's matchup.

Jacob deGrom is projected to have 6.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -165

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season

Chad Fairchild profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Among all stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 90°.

Jacob deGrom is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #4 HR venue among all stadiums in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jacob deGrom as the 11th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball currently.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #28 venue in the game for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

Jacob deGrom was in good form in his last outing and allowed 0 ER.

Among all SPs, Jacob deGrom's fastball velocity of 96.5 mph grades out in the 94th percentile this year.

Jacob deGrom is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -175

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 135

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jacob deGrom as the 11th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball currently.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #28 venue in the game for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.

Jacob deGrom was in good form in his last outing and allowed 0 ER.

Among all SPs, Jacob deGrom's fastball velocity of 96.5 mph grades out in the 94th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jacob deGrom is projected to throw 85 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least on the slate.

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season

Chad Fairchild profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Among all stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 90°.

Jacob deGrom is projected to have 15.8 Pitching Outs in today's game.