Jacob deGrom Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 1.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Jacob deGrom has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Given the 1.17 disparity between Jacob deGrom's 2.73 ERA and his 3.90 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to see worse results the rest of the season.

Seattle's 94.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #2 squad in the majors this year by this metric.

Collectively, Seattle Mariners batters have done well as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), placing 2nd-best in the majors.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jacob deGrom as the 13th-best pitcher in the majors currently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Seattle Mariners in this game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .322, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .337 this year.

It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Seattle Mariners offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Globe Life Field ranks as the #26 park in the game for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the majors, Globe Life Field's centerfield fences are the 7th-deepest.

Jacob deGrom is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: -106

Strikeouts 6.5 under: -122

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Jacob deGrom projects as the 9th-best SP in the majors currently when estimating his strikeout ability, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 33%.

Considering that groundball batters perform worse against groundball pitchers, Jacob deGrom (39.1% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team's projected offense.

Jacob deGrom will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

Jacob deGrom's 96.1-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 94th percentile out of all SPs.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob deGrom to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (7th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Jacob deGrom has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Jacob deGrom is projected to have 6.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -125

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jacob deGrom as the 13th-best pitcher in the majors currently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Seattle Mariners in this game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .322, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .337 this year.

It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Seattle Mariners offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Globe Life Field ranks as the #26 park in the game for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the majors, Globe Life Field's centerfield fences are the 7th-deepest.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob deGrom to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (7th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Jacob deGrom has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Given the 1.17 disparity between Jacob deGrom's 2.73 ERA and his 3.90 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to see worse results the rest of the season.

Seattle's 94.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #2 squad in the majors this year by this metric.

Jacob deGrom is projected to have 15.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.