Hunter Brown Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: -143

Strikeouts 6.5 under: 107

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Hunter Brown in the 94th percentile among all SPs in baseball.

Hunter Brown has averaged 95.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

Mike Estabrook profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today's game.

The #6 venue in the league for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Projected catcher Yainer Diaz grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Hunter Brown (49.1% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Minnesota's projected batting order.

Hunter Brown's higher utilization percentage of his fastball this year (60.1 compared to 53% last year) is not ideal consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Given the 0.45 deviation between Hunter Brown's 10.59 K/9 and his 10.14 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see worse results in future games.

Hunter Brown is projected to have 7.1 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Projected catcher Yainer Diaz grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the game for BABIP.

Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Hunter Brown (49.1% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Minnesota's projected batting order.

Hunter Brown's higher utilization percentage of his fastball this year (60.1 compared to 53% last year) is not ideal consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Hunter Brown projects as the 14th-best pitcher in the majors right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Mike Estabrook profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today's game.

Among all major league stadiums, the 3rd-highest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.

Hunter Brown will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

In his previous start, Hunter Brown was rolling and allowed 2 ER.

Hunter Brown is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -182

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 140

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Hunter Brown projects as the 14th-best pitcher in the majors right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hunter Brown has averaged 95.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

Mike Estabrook profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today's game.

Among all major league stadiums, the 3rd-highest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.

Hunter Brown will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Projected catcher Yainer Diaz grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the game for BABIP.

Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Hunter Brown (49.1% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Minnesota's projected batting order.

Hunter Brown's higher utilization percentage of his fastball this year (60.1 compared to 53% last year) is not ideal consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Hunter Brown is projected to have 17.3 Pitching Outs in today's game.