Hayden Birdsong Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 105

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Hayden Birdsong in the 86th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.

The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, Dillon Dingler).

It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Phil Cuzzi) behind the plate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as an elite pitch framer.

The weather report forecasts the 7th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hayden Birdsong to throw 85 pitches in this game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.

Hayden Birdsong will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Considering the 0.9 disparity between Hayden Birdsong's 10.49 K/9 and his 9.59 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and should negatively regress going forward.

Hayden Birdsong is projected to have 5.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -174

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 126

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Comerica Park profiles as the #8 ballpark in the league for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In Major League Baseball, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

Hayden Birdsong will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Hayden Birdsong has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA since the start of last season; his 3.95 figure is significantly deflated relative to his 4.58 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Detroit's 93.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks them as the #4 squad in the majors this year by this stat.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Detroit Tigers have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward

It is expected that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Phil Cuzzi) behind the plate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as an elite pitch framer.

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF fences among all stadiums.

The weather report forecasts the 7th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Hayden Birdsong is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.