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Griffin Canning

New York Mets

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New York Mets

07:10 PM

Apr 22, 2025

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Philadelphia Phillies

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -115

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Among all parks, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.

Among all starters, Griffin Canning's fastball spin rate of 2164 rpm is in the 9th percentile this year.

Griffin Canning has notched a 5.14 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the variables most within a pitcher's control) since the start of last season, ranking in the 7th percentile.

Collectively, Philadelphia Phillies batters have excelled in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 3rd-best in the game.

The Philadelphia Phillies as a unit place 6th- overall in Major League Baseball this year as far as the maximum exit velocity of all of the balls their [HITTER}s have hit.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 30%.

Griffin Canning will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats in all categories.

In his previous GS, Griffin Canning was on point and gave up 2 ER.

Griffin Canning is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 110

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 30%.

Griffin Canning will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats in all categories.

In his previous GS, Griffin Canning was on point and gave up 2 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Among all parks, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.

Among all starters, Griffin Canning's fastball spin rate of 2164 rpm is in the 9th percentile this year.

Griffin Canning has notched a 5.14 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the variables most within a pitcher's control) since the start of last season, ranking in the 7th percentile.

Griffin Canning's 21st percentile Walk% (9.2% since the start of last season) demonstrates his bad control skills.

Collectively, Philadelphia Phillies batters have excelled in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 3rd-best in the game.

Griffin Canning is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -104

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -122

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 4th-best park in the game for strikeouts.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 30%.

Griffin Canning will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats in all categories.

Griffin Canning has gone to his slider 12.5% more often this season (36.5%) than he did last year (24%).

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Among all starters, Griffin Canning's fastball spin rate of 2164 rpm is in the 9th percentile this year.

Griffin Canning has put up an 18.6% Strikeout% since the start of last season, grading out in the 19th percentile.

Griffin Canning is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Griffin Canning Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-162)
un 4.5 (117)
ov 4.5 (-160)
un 4.5 (115)
-
ov 4.5 (-160)
un 4.5 (115)
ov 4.5 (-166)
un 4.5 (120)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-120)
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-120)
-
ov 2.5 (-118)
un 2.5 (-120)
ov 2.5 (-113)
un 2.5 (-121)
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 15.5 (103)
un 15.5 (-143)
ov 15.5 (-110)
un 15.5 (-125)
ov 15.5 (108)
un 15.5 (-146)
ov 15.5 (100)
un 15.5 (-145)
ov 15.5 (108)
un 15.5 (-148)
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-117)
un 4.5 (-114)
ov 4.5 (-115)
un 4.5 (-115)
ov 4.5 (-106)
un 4.5 (-120)
ov 4.5 (-115)
un 4.5 (-115)
ov 4.5 (-129)
un 4.5 (-106)
ov 4.5 (-115)
un 4.5 (-115)
Walks Allowed
ov 2.5 (108)
un 2.5 (-152)
ov 2.5 (105)
un 2.5 (-150)
-
-
ov 2.5 (112)
un 2.5 (-154)
-

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