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Grant Holmes

Atlanta Braves

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Atlanta Braves

07:15 PM

Apr 9, 2025

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Philadelphia Phillies

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -140

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Dan Merzel projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Grant Holmes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Grant Holmes must realize this, because he has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot since the start of last season: 61.3% of the time, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Grant Holmes has recorded a 14.1% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

Grant Holmes has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 9.21 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.49 — a 0.72 K/9 disparity.

Grant Holmes is projected to have 5.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -105

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It may be wise to expect worse results for the Philadelphia Phillies offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in the league since the start of last season.

The 2nd-deepest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.

Grant Holmes is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #25 HR venue among all parks in this matchup.

Grant Holmes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Grant Holmes must realize this, because he has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot since the start of last season: 61.3% of the time, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The 2nd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for base hits.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.

Grant Holmes is projected to have 15.8 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The 2nd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for base hits.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be wise to expect worse results for the Philadelphia Phillies offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in the league since the start of last season.

The 2nd-deepest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.

Grant Holmes is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #25 HR venue among all parks in this matchup.

Grant Holmes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Grant Holmes must realize this, because he has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot since the start of last season: 61.3% of the time, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Grant Holmes is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Grant Holmes Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-134)
un 4.5 (-103)
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (-105)
-
ov 4.5 (-135)
un 4.5 (-105)
ov 4.5 (-137)
un 4.5 (100)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (108)
un 2.5 (-147)
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-145)
-
ov 2.5 (105)
un 2.5 (-150)
-
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-164)
un 4.5 (124)
ov 4.5 (-150)
un 4.5 (115)
ov 5.5 (122)
un 5.5 (-154)
ov 4.5 (-155)
un 4.5 (120)
ov 4.5 (-174)
un 4.5 (126)
ov 4.5 (-160)
un 4.5 (120)
Walks Allowed
ov 2.5 (145)
un 2.5 (-210)
ov 2.5 (145)
un 2.5 (-210)
-
-
-
-

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