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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -135

Earned Runs 1.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Houston Astros offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

Minute Maid Park profiles as the #8 venue in the league for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 9° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team in action today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, George Kirby's overall pitching talent grades out in the 92nd percentile among all starters in the league currently.

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In Major League Baseball, the 3rd-highest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.

George Kirby will have the handedness advantage against 8 opposing bats today.

Because groundball pitchers hold a notable advantage over groundball bats, George Kirby and his 43.7% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in today's game going up against 3 opposing GB bats.

George Kirby is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 130

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park grades out as the #6 park in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

George Kirby will have the handedness advantage against 8 opposing bats today.

Because groundball pitchers hold a notable advantage over groundball bats, George Kirby and his 43.7% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in today's game going up against 3 opposing GB bats.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects George Kirby to be limited in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 80 pitches.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Houston Astros with a 20.3% underlying K%.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 9° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

George Kirby will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. George Kirby has gone to his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 57.6% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

George Kirby is projected to have 4.2 Strikeouts in today's game.

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George Kirby Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-146)
un 4.5 (105)
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (100)
-
ov 4.5 (-150)
un 4.5 (105)
ov 4.5 (-154)
un 4.5 (112)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-126)
un 1.5 (-109)
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-110)
-
ov 1.5 (-130)
un 1.5 (-110)
ov 1.5 (-129)
un 1.5 (-106)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (127)
un 4.5 (-165)
ov 4.5 (130)
un 4.5 (-165)
ov 4.5 (132)
un 4.5 (-170)
ov 4.5 (130)
un 4.5 (-165)
ov 4.5 (126)
un 4.5 (-174)
Walks Allowed
ov 0.5 (-136)
un 0.5 (-103)
ov 0.5 (-135)
un 0.5 (-105)
-
-
ov 0.5 (-137)
un 0.5 (100)

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