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Gavin Williams

Cleveland Guardians

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Cleveland Guardians

04:10 PM

Jun 7, 2025

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Houston Astros

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -161

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 128

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Gavin Williams's overall pitching skill ranks in the 76th percentile among all SPs in MLB right now.

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Gavin Williams has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an additional 8.5 adjusted pitches each outing.

Compared to their .324 overall projected rate, the .313 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Houston Astros projected batting order today suggests this version of the lineup significantly missing some of their usual firepower.

Projected catcher Bo Naylor projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all parks, the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Houston Astros have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Ramon De Jesus) calling pitches in today's game.

The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field fences are the shallowest.

Gavin Williams's change-up rate has dropped by 5.2% from last year to this one (5.4% to 0.2%) .

Gavin Williams is projected to have 17.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -161

Strikeouts 5.5 under: 128

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Gavin Williams in the 86th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Gavin Williams has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an additional 8.5 adjusted pitches each outing.

Projected catcher Bo Naylor projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Progressive Field ranks as the #9 park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-best for pitching of the day.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Ramon De Jesus) calling pitches in today's game.

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Gavin Williams wasn't on when it came to striking hitters out in his previous start and notched 2 Ks.

Gavin Williams's change-up rate has dropped by 5.2% from last year to this one (5.4% to 0.2%) .

Gavin Williams has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 10.01 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.50 — a 0.52 K/9 difference.

Gavin Williams is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -170

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Houston Astros have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Ramon De Jesus) calling pitches in today's game.

The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Among all major league stadiums, Progressive Field's left field fences are the shallowest.

Gavin Williams's change-up rate has dropped by 5.2% from last year to this one (5.4% to 0.2%) .

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Gavin Williams's overall pitching skill ranks in the 76th percentile among all SPs in MLB right now.

Compared to their .324 overall projected rate, the .313 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Houston Astros projected batting order today suggests this version of the lineup significantly missing some of their usual firepower.

Projected catcher Bo Naylor projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all parks, the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-best for pitching of the day.

Gavin Williams is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Gavin Williams Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-169)
un 4.5 (122)
ov 4.5 (-170)
un 4.5 (120)
-
ov 4.5 (-166)
un 4.5 (120)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (132)
un 2.5 (-180)
ov 2.5 (130)
un 2.5 (-175)
-
ov 2.5 (133)
un 2.5 (-184)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-167)
un 17.5 (122)
ov 17.5 (-165)
un 17.5 (120)
-
ov 17.5 (-174)
un 17.5 (126)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-156)
un 5.5 (118)
ov 5.5 (-160)
un 5.5 (125)
ov 5.5 (-148)
un 5.5 (116)
ov 5.5 (-160)
un 5.5 (116)
Walks Allowed
ov 2.5 (125)
un 2.5 (-180)
ov 2.5 (125)
un 2.5 (-180)
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