Gavin Williams Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -115

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Gavin Williams in the 85th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Gavin Williams has averaged 100.1 adjusted pitches per GS this year, grading out in the 99th percentile.

Progressive Field profiles as the #9 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of the day at 55°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Gavin Williams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The Philadelphia Phillies (40.6% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the most strikeout-prone team of hitters of all teams today.

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

In his previous GS, Gavin Williams wasn't on when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

Gavin Williams's change-up percentage has fallen by 5.1% from last year to this one (5.4% to 0.3%) .

Considering the 1.01 gap between Gavin Williams's 10.41 K/9 and his 9.40 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see worse results in the future.

Gavin Williams is projected to have 5.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 135

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -190

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Gavin Williams has averaged 100.1 adjusted pitches per GS this year, grading out in the 99th percentile.

Among all stadiums, the 4th-highest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of the day at 55°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Gavin Williams is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.1% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #21 HR venue in Major League Baseball in today's game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Gavin Williams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Gavin Williams's change-up percentage has fallen by 5.1% from last year to this one (5.4% to 0.3%) .

With a 5.11 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the variables most within a pitcher's control), Gavin Williams ranks in the 20th percentile.

Philadelphia Phillies batters as a group rank near the top of the majors this year (6th-) as far as their 90-mph average exit velocity.

Gavin Williams is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Gavin Williams's change-up percentage has fallen by 5.1% from last year to this one (5.4% to 0.3%) .

With a 5.11 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the variables most within a pitcher's control), Gavin Williams ranks in the 20th percentile.

Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Gavin Williams has notched a 2.08 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Among all stadiums, the 4th-highest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level of the day at 55°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Gavin Williams is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.1% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #21 HR venue in Major League Baseball in today's game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Gavin Williams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

In his previous game started, Gavin Williams was on point and conceded 2 ER.

Gavin Williams is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in today's game.