Boston Red Sox
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 7.5 over: 124
Strikeouts 7.5 under: -158
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
When estimating his strikeout talent, Garrett Crochet projects as the 2nd-best pitcher in the league right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Baltimore Orioles have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler O'Neill, Ramon Laureano, Jackson Holliday, Heston Kjerstad).
David Rackley projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Out of all starters, Garrett Crochet's fastball velocity of 97.1 mph grades out in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
The Baltimore Orioles have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game.
Garrett Crochet will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Garrett Crochet's high utilization percentage of his fastball (55.3% since the start of last season) is likely harming his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Garrett Crochet has had some very good luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 12.69 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 12.37 — a 0.32 K/9 gap.
Garrett Crochet is projected to have 7.3 Strikeouts in today's game.
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 1.5 over: -115
Earned Runs 1.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest.
The Baltimore Orioles have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game.
Garrett Crochet will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Garrett Crochet's high utilization percentage of his fastball (55.3% since the start of last season) is likely harming his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Garrett Crochet as the 5th-best SP in the league currently.
The Baltimore Orioles have been the 8th-luckiest offense in baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games
David Rackley projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #29 park in baseball for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Garrett Crochet is projected to have 1.8 Earned Runs in today's game.
Hits Allowed | |
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![]() | ov 4.5 (124) un 4.5 (-172) |
![]() | ov 4.5 (120) un 4.5 (-170) |
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Total Earned Runs Allowed | |
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![]() | ov 1.5 (-113) un 1.5 (-121) |
![]() | ov 1.5 (-115) un 1.5 (-120) |
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Total Outs Recorded | |
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![]() | ov 15.5 (-127) un 15.5 (-104) |
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