• Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -118

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) calling pitches today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the game for home runs.

Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest left field fences in the majors.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Freddy Peralta is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.8% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue among all major league stadiums today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Freddy Peralta in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

Freddy Peralta was rolling in his previous outing and gave up 2 ER.

Freddy Peralta's 2441-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 86th percentile out of all starters.

Cincinnati Reds hitters collectively grade out 27th- in MLB for power this year when judging by their 7.2% Barrel%.

Freddy Peralta is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -125

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Freddy Peralta in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

Freddy Peralta has averaged 94.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

Freddy Peralta was rolling in his previous outing and gave up 2 ER.

Freddy Peralta's 2441-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 86th percentile out of all starters.

Grading out in the 87th percentile, Freddy Peralta recorded a 12.9% Swinging Strike% this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) calling pitches today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the game for home runs.

Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest left field fences in the majors.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Freddy Peralta is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.8% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue among all major league stadiums today.

Freddy Peralta is projected to have 15.8 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: 115

Strikeouts 6.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Freddy Peralta in the 90th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

Freddy Peralta has averaged 94.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

The Cincinnati Reds have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Stephenson, Will Benson, Matt McLain, Elly De La Cruz).

Freddy Peralta was on point in his last outing and put up 8 strikeouts.

Freddy Peralta's 2441-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 86th percentile out of all starters.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) calling pitches today.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

Freddy Peralta's four-seam fastball utilization has increased by 5.8% from last season to this one (53.8% to 59.6%) .

Freddy Peralta is projected to have 5.7 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Freddy Peralta Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-121)
un 4.5 (-112)
ov 4.5 (-120)
un 4.5 (-115)
-
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-110)
ov 4.5 (-120)
un 4.5 (-110)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-111)
un 2.5 (-123)
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-120)
-
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-120)
ov 2.5 (-110)
un 2.5 (-120)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 16.5 (-120)
un 16.5 (-114)
ov 16.5 (-125)
un 16.5 (-110)
ov 16.5 (-118)
un 16.5 (-110)
ov 16.5 (-125)
un 16.5 (-115)
ov 16.5 (-115)
un 16.5 (-115)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 6.5 (123)
un 6.5 (-163)
ov 6.5 (115)
un 6.5 (-150)
ov 5.5 (-164)
un 5.5 (128)
ov 6.5 (120)
un 6.5 (-155)
ov 6.5 (130)
un 6.5 (-170)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-215)
un 1.5 (157)
ov 1.5 (-210)
un 1.5 (150)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-220)
un 1.5 (165)

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