Drew Rasmussen Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -135

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Drew Rasmussen in the 76th percentile among all starters in the game.

Because flyball hitters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Drew Rasmussen (47.2% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 4 FB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Drew Rasmussen will hold that advantage today.

Among all SPs, Drew Rasmussen's fastball velocity of 94.6 mph is in the 79th percentile this year.

Drew Rasmussen's 2504-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 93rd percentile among all SPs.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Drew Rasmussen is projected to throw 84 pitches in today's game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of the day.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Milwaukee Brewers with a 20.7% underlying K%.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Drew Rasmussen's high utilization rate of his fastball (54.1% this year) is likely dampening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Drew Rasmussen is projected to have 4.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -175

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

In MLB, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

Drew Rasmussen's high utilization rate of his fastball (54.1% this year) is likely dampening his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Drew Rasmussen's overall pitching talent ranks in the 91st percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

The #8 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

The 5th-deepest CF fences among all stadiums are found in George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Drew Rasmussen is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in George M. Steinbrenner Field — the #10 HR venue among all stadiums — in this game.

The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team on the slate today.

Drew Rasmussen is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in today's game.