Drew Rasmussen Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -180

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 135

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Texas Rangers have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Drew Rasmussen has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 57.7% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

With a 1.39 deviation between Drew Rasmussen's 2.33 ERA and his 3.72 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to negatively regress going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, Drew Rasmussen's overall pitching skill is in the 92nd percentile among all SPs in MLB right now.

The #7 field in baseball for suppressing BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Drew Rasmussen will hold that advantage today.

Drew Rasmussen is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -115

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Drew Rasmussen will hold that advantage today.

Drew Rasmussen's 94.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 77th percentile out of all starters.

Out of all starters, Drew Rasmussen's fastball spin rate of 2498 rpm is in the 93rd percentile this year.

With a 0.98 gap between Drew Rasmussen's 7.45 K/9 and his 8.43 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year in terms of strikeouts and should see positive regression going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Drew Rasmussen is projected to throw 81 pitches in today's game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers today.

This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Drew Rasmussen has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 57.7% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

Placing in the 23rd percentile, Drew Rasmussen notched an 8.8% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Drew Rasmussen is projected to have 4.8 Strikeouts in today's game.