Baltimore Orioles
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
Dan Iassogna grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping today.
The #3 venue in the game for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°.
Dean Kremer is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #3 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 7th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season
Dean Kremer has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed hitters in this game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Dean Kremer will hold that advantage today.
Dean Kremer has used his four-seamer 6.9% less often this season (25.2%) than he did last season (32.1%).
Dean Kremer has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 4.60 figure is inflated compared to his 4.17 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
Dean Kremer is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.
Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -110
Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
Dean Kremer has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.
The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 7th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season
Dean Kremer has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed hitters in this game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Dean Kremer will hold that advantage today.
Dean Kremer has used his four-seamer 6.9% less often this season (25.2%) than he did last season (32.1%).
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop
Dan Iassogna grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping today.
The #3 venue in the game for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°.
Dean Kremer is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #3 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.
Dean Kremer is projected to have 16.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 4.5 over: 115
Strikeouts 4.5 under: -150
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
Dean Kremer has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.
Dean Kremer has a reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed hitters in this game.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Dean Kremer will hold that advantage today.
Dean Kremer has used his four-seamer 6.9% less often this season (25.2%) than he did last season (32.1%).
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
Dan Iassogna grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping today.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 91°.
Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Dean Kremer (35.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 3 GB hitters in Tampa Bay's projected lineup.
Dean Kremer has put up an 8.4% Swinging Strike percentage this year, grading out in the 16th percentile.
Dean Kremer is projected to have 4.5 Strikeouts in today's game.