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  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -141

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Recording 93.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, David Peterson ranks in the 79th percentile.

The Pittsburgh Pirates projected batting order projects as the 2nd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

Citi Field grades out as the #29 venue in the league for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 7th-best hitting conditions on the slate.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.

With 9 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected batting order, David Peterson will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 11th-weakest among every team playing today.

David Peterson is projected to have 16.8 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -170

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.

With 9 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected batting order, David Peterson will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 11th-weakest among every team playing today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Pittsburgh Pirates projected batting order projects as the 2nd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

Citi Field grades out as the #29 venue in the league for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 7th-best hitting conditions on the slate.

Considering that flyball batters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, David Peterson (50.4% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in the opposing club's projected lineup.

David Peterson is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -118

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -108

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Recording 93.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, David Peterson ranks in the 79th percentile.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Alexander Canario, Matt Gorski, Joey Bart).

Citi Field projects as the #4 stadium in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 7th-best hitting conditions on the slate.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.

With 9 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected batting order, David Peterson will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

David Peterson's fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this season (90.9 mph) below where it was last season (91.9 mph).

David Peterson's 2140-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 16th percentile among all starters.

David Peterson's high utilization rate of his fastball (53.1% this year) is likely hurting his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

David Peterson is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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David Peterson Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (111)
un 5.5 (-153)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-155)
-
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-155)
ov 5.5 (108)
un 5.5 (-148)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (124)
un 2.5 (-173)
ov 2.5 (125)
un 2.5 (-170)
-
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-175)
ov 2.5 (126)
un 2.5 (-174)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-142)
un 17.5 (104)
ov 17.5 (-145)
un 17.5 (105)
ov 17.5 (-132)
un 17.5 (102)
ov 17.5 (-145)
un 17.5 (100)
ov 17.5 (-148)
un 17.5 (108)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-119)
un 5.5 (-111)
ov 5.5 (-110)
un 5.5 (-115)
ov 5.5 (-118)
un 5.5 (-108)
ov 5.5 (-115)
un 5.5 (-110)
ov 5.5 (-117)
un 5.5 (-117)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-111)
un 1.5 (-127)
ov 1.5 (-115)
un 1.5 (-125)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-106)
un 1.5 (-129)

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