Darren McCaughan projections, stats and prop bet odds for Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins on Sep 22, 2024
Darren McCaughan Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -137
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Darren McCaughan's overall pitching ability ranks in the 4th percentile out of all starters in MLB currently.
The Atlanta Braves have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season
Chad Fairchild profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.
LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in the majors for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Darren McCaughan (37.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Atlanta's projected batting order.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest right field dimensions among all major league parks.
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.
Due to his large platoon split, Darren McCaughan will be at an advantage going up against 6 bats in the projected offense who share his hand today.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Darren McCaughan will hold that advantage in today's game.
Given the 2.28 gap between Darren McCaughan's 7.64 ERA and his 5.36 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to perform better in future games.
Projection For Today's Darren McCaughan Earned Runs Prop Bet
Darren McCaughan is projected to have 3.1 Earned Runs in todays game.
Darren McCaughan Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: 125
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: -155
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.
Due to his large platoon split, Darren McCaughan will be at an advantage going up against 6 bats in the projected offense who share his hand today.
Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Darren McCaughan will hold that advantage in today's game.
Darren McCaughan has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 5.18 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.53 — a 1.35 K/9 discrepancy.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Darren McCaughan in the 8th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Darren McCaughan is projected to throw 81 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least on the slate.
Chad Fairchild profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 9th-worst park in MLB for strikeouts.
Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Darren McCaughan (37.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Atlanta's projected batting order.
Projection For Today's Darren McCaughan Strikeouts Prop Bet
Darren McCaughan is projected to have 3.5 Strikeouts in todays game.
