Dane Dunning Prop projections for Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners on Jun 16, 2024
Dane Dunning Player Prop: Pitching Outs
Pitching Outs Prop Odds:
- Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -120
- Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop
Brian Walsh profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-worst park in baseball for walks.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Dane Dunning must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 60.8% of the time, grading out in the 84th percentile.
Given the 0.48 gap between Dane Dunning's 4.80 ERA and his 4.32 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and should see positive regression in the future.
Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Prop
Dane Dunning has averaged 14.8 outs per GS this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.
Projected catcher Andrew Knizner profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the majors, T-Mobile Park's right field dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.
Among all major league parks, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.
Dane Dunning will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.
Dane Dunning Pitching Outs Prop Projection
Dane Dunning is projected to have 15.7 Pitching Outs in todays game.
Dane Dunning Player Prop: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: -135
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
The Seattle Mariners have 5 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cal Raleigh, Mitch Garver, Luke Raley, Tyler Locklear, Dylan Moore).
Brian Walsh profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the best venue in the majors for strikeouts.
T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop
Projected catcher Andrew Knizner profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Dane Dunning will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.
In his last outing, Dane Dunning didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.
Dane Dunning's 89.4-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1-mph decline from last season's 90.4-mph mark.
Out of all starting pitchers, Dane Dunning's fastball spin rate of 2143.3 rpm grades out in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.
Dane Dunning Strikeouts Prop Projection
Dane Dunning is projected to have 5.4 Strikeouts in todays game.
Dane Dunning Player Prop: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -105
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
Projected catcher Andrew Knizner profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the majors, T-Mobile Park's right field dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.
Among all major league parks, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.
Dane Dunning will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.
Dane Dunning allowed a colossal 6 earned runs in his last start.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop
Brian Walsh profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-worst park in baseball for walks.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Dane Dunning must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 60.8% of the time, grading out in the 84th percentile.
Given the 0.48 gap between Dane Dunning's 4.80 ERA and his 4.32 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and should see positive regression in the future.
Dane Dunning Earned Runs Prop Projection
Dane Dunning is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in todays game.
