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Corbin Burnes

Arizona Diamondbacks

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New York Yankees

07:05 PM

Apr 1, 2025

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Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -115

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Corbin Burnes in the 82nd percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Throwing 93.8 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season on average, Corbin Burnes checks in at the 88th percentile.

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Corbin Burnes was on point in his previous game started and compiled 9 strikeouts.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.

Over his last 3 starts, Corbin Burnes has suffered a substantial drop off in his fastball velocity: from 94.7 mph over the whole season to 93.5 mph recently.

Corbin Burnes's 1805-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 4th percentile among all starters.

Corbin Burnes is projected to have 5.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -180

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The New York Yankees projected lineup projects as the 3rd-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

Yankee Stadium profiles as the #4 field in baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.

Over his last 3 starts, Corbin Burnes has suffered a substantial drop off in his fastball velocity: from 94.7 mph over the whole season to 93.5 mph recently.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Corbin Burnes in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

The New York Yankees have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games

In MLB, Yankee Stadium's centerfield fences are the 6th-deepest.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Corbin Burnes is projected to have 2 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 110

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Corbin Burnes in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

Throwing 93.8 adjusted pitches per outing since the start of last season on average, Corbin Burnes checks in at the 88th percentile.

The New York Yankees have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games

In MLB, Yankee Stadium's centerfield fences are the 6th-deepest.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The New York Yankees projected lineup projects as the 3rd-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

Yankee Stadium profiles as the #4 field in baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.

Over his last 3 starts, Corbin Burnes has suffered a substantial drop off in his fastball velocity: from 94.7 mph over the whole season to 93.5 mph recently.

Corbin Burnes is projected to have 15.3 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Corbin Burnes Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 3.5 (-160)
un 3.5 (123)
ov 3.5 (-165)
un 3.5 (115)
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Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-167)
un 1.5 (129)
ov 1.5 (-180)
un 1.5 (130)
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Total Outs Recorded
ov 15.5 (100)
un 15.5 (-134)
ov 15.5 (105)
un 15.5 (-140)
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Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-111)
un 5.5 (-121)
ov 5.5 (-115)
un 5.5 (-115)
ov 5.5 (-109)
un 5.5 (-125)
ov 5.5 (-105)
un 5.5 (-125)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-200)
un 1.5 (140)
ov 1.5 (-200)
un 1.5 (140)
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