Clayton Kershaw Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 132

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -172

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The 2nd-weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the San Francisco Giants.

Clayton Kershaw is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue in MLB — today.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Clayton Kershaw will hold that advantage today.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Clayton Kershaw must realize this, because he has gone to his secondary offerings a lot since the start of last season: 63.1% of the time, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Given the 0.57 gap between Clayton Kershaw's 4.44 ERA and his 3.87 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game since the start of last season and should see better results going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Clayton Kershaw to throw 85 pitches in today's game (12th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Dan Iassogna projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.

The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.

On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

Clayton Kershaw is projected to have 15.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -130

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The San Francisco Giants have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Willy Adames, Jerar Encarnacion, Tyler Fitzgerald).

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Clayton Kershaw will hold that advantage today.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Clayton Kershaw must realize this, because he has gone to his secondary offerings a lot since the start of last season: 63.1% of the time, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Considering the 0.67 disparity between Clayton Kershaw's 6.93 K/9 and his 7.60 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and should positively regress in the future.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Clayton Kershaw to throw 85 pitches in today's game (12th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Dan Iassogna projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 9th-worst park in the majors for strikeouts.

With 8 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Clayton Kershaw will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Clayton Kershaw (44.2% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 FB hitters in San Francisco's projected lineup.

Clayton Kershaw is projected to have 4.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 125

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Dan Iassogna projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.

The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium's CF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.

On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

With 8 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Clayton Kershaw will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The 2nd-weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the San Francisco Giants.

Clayton Kershaw is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue in MLB — today.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Clayton Kershaw will hold that advantage today.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Clayton Kershaw must realize this, because he has gone to his secondary offerings a lot since the start of last season: 63.1% of the time, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Given the 0.57 gap between Clayton Kershaw's 4.44 ERA and his 3.87 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game since the start of last season and should see better results going forward.

Clayton Kershaw is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.