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Chris Paddack

Minnesota Twins

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Minnesota Twins

01:10 PM

May 21, 2025

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Cleveland Guardians

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 120

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -154

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nolan Jones, Austin Hedges, Gabriel Arias).

Projected catcher Christian Vazquez profiles as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Target Field ranks as the #6 park in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the coldest weather on the slate at 49°.

As a result of his reverse platoon split, Chris Paddack figures to be at an advantage facing 7 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the other side in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Shane Livensparger) in charge of the strike zone today.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.

Chris Paddack is projected to have 4.2 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Shane Livensparger) in charge of the strike zone today.

The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

The Cleveland Guardians have done a strong job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 17.9° angle is among the highest in MLB this year (#2 overall).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Cleveland Guardians projected batting order ranks as the 4th-weakest of the day in terms of overall offensive skill.

Projected catcher Christian Vazquez profiles as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the league, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest.

Target Field has the 5th-tallest fences in MLB.

Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the coldest weather on the slate at 49°.

Chris Paddack is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Chris Paddack Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-140)
un 4.5 (100)
ov 4.5 (-140)
un 4.5 (100)
-
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (100)
ov 4.5 (-142)
un 4.5 (104)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-155)
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-155)
-
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-160)
ov 2.5 (116)
un 2.5 (-160)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (140)
un 4.5 (-185)
ov 4.5 (140)
un 4.5 (-185)
ov 4.5 (134)
un 4.5 (-172)
ov 4.5 (135)
un 4.5 (-185)
ov 4.5 (133)
un 4.5 (-184)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-140)
un 1.5 (100)
ov 1.5 (-140)
un 1.5 (100)
-
-
-

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