Chris Paddack Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 135

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -170

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The Detroit Tigers have been the luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward

The #8 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.

The 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Comerica Park.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Chris Paddack is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #23 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

James Jean projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

In Major League Baseball, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

Chris Paddack will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Chris Paddack conceded a whopping 9 earned runs in his last GS.

Chris Paddack's four-seam fastball utilization has risen by 5.2% from last year to this one (42.9% to 48.1%) .

Chris Paddack is projected to have 15.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

James Jean projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

In Major League Baseball, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

Chris Paddack will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Chris Paddack conceded a whopping 9 earned runs in his last GS.

Chris Paddack's four-seam fastball utilization has risen by 5.2% from last year to this one (42.9% to 48.1%) .

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Detroit Tigers have been the luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward

The #8 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.

The 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Comerica Park.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Chris Paddack is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #23 HR venue in the majors in this matchup.

Chris Paddack is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -122

Strikeouts 3.5 under: -112

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Dillon Dingler, Spencer Torkelson, Riley Greene).

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Given that flyball pitchers hold a substantial advantage over flyball batters, Chris Paddack and his 34.6% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in this game being matched up with 2 opposing FB batters.

Chris Paddack has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 6.33 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.12 — a 0.79 K/9 disparity.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chris Paddack in the 25th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

James Jean projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Chris Paddack will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

In his previous GS, Chris Paddack wasn't on when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

Chris Paddack is projected to have 4.1 Strikeouts in today's game.