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Chris Bassitt

Toronto Blue Jays

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Toronto Blue Jays

07:07 PM

May 30, 2025

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Athletics

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 125

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -180

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (John Libka) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.

Chris Bassitt's fastball velocity has fallen 2 mph this season (90.6 mph) below where it was last year (92.6 mph).

Chris Bassitt's 2154-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 25th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The 3rd-weakest projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Athletics.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Athletics offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays's expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The league's 8th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Rogers Centre.

Chris Bassitt is an extreme groundball pitcher (42.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Rogers Centre — the #2 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in this game.

Chris Bassitt is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -118

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Chris Bassitt has averaged 95.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

The Athletics have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (C.J. Alexander, Denzel Clarke, Logan Davidson, Brent Rooker).

Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays's expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 10th-best ballpark in MLB for strikeouts.

Because flyball hitters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Chris Bassitt (42.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing club's projected batting order.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (John Libka) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Chris Bassitt's fastball velocity has fallen 2 mph this season (90.6 mph) below where it was last year (92.6 mph).

Chris Bassitt's 2154-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 25th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Considering the 0.93 discrepancy between Chris Bassitt's 9.24 K/9 and his 8.31 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see negative regression in the future.

Chris Bassitt is projected to have 6.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 130

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -180

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Chris Bassitt has averaged 95.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

The 3rd-weakest projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Athletics.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Athletics offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays's expected catcher today, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The league's 8th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Rogers Centre.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (John Libka) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.

Chris Bassitt's fastball velocity has fallen 2 mph this season (90.6 mph) below where it was last year (92.6 mph).

Chris Bassitt's 2154-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 25th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Chris Bassitt is projected to have 18.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Chris Bassitt Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-106)
un 5.5 (-129)
ov 5.5 (-105)
un 5.5 (-135)
-
ov 5.5 (-105)
un 5.5 (-135)
ov 5.5 (-106)
un 5.5 (-129)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (116)
un 2.5 (-160)
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-160)
-
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-160)
ov 2.5 (116)
un 2.5 (-160)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 18.5 (143)
un 18.5 (-194)
ov 18.5 (130)
un 18.5 (-180)
ov 18.5 (144)
un 18.5 (-188)
ov 18.5 (140)
un 18.5 (-200)
ov 18.5 (143)
un 18.5 (-199)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-138)
un 5.5 (104)
ov 5.5 (-130)
un 5.5 (100)
ov 5.5 (-138)
un 5.5 (108)
ov 5.5 (-130)
un 5.5 (100)
ov 5.5 (-137)
un 5.5 (100)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (120)
un 1.5 (-170)
ov 1.5 (120)
un 1.5 (-170)
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