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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Projected catcher Hunter Goodman projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for walks.

Given that flyball batters have a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Chase Dollander and his 36.8% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in today's game squaring off against 5 opposing GB hitters.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Chase Dollander in today's game.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Chase Dollander has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.2% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Miami Marlins projected lineup ranks as the 4th-worst of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill.

It may be best to expect worse results for the Miami Marlins offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

In the league, LoanDepot Park's RF fences are the 4th-deepest.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense.

The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.

Chase Dollander is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -200

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 150

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Chase Dollander in the 85th percentile among all SPs in MLB.

LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense.

The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for mound aces.

Chase Dollander will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters today.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Chase Dollander is projected to throw 74 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Miami Marlins with a 20.5% underlying K%.

Projected catcher Hunter Goodman projects as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given that flyball batters have a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Chase Dollander and his 36.8% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in today's game squaring off against 5 opposing GB hitters.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Chase Dollander in today's game.

Chase Dollander is projected to have 4.2 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Chase Dollander Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (-196)
un 3.5 (146)
ov 3.5 (-185)
un 3.5 (140)
ov 4.5 (124)
un 4.5 (-158)
ov 3.5 (-165)
un 3.5 (130)
ov 3.5 (-200)
un 3.5 (150)

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