Charlie Morton Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 108

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -148

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Charlie Morton in the 89th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.

Charlie Morton has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 5.1 more adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Austin Wynns, Elly De La Cruz, Matt McLain).

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Charlie Morton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Charlie Morton's 93-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.1-mph drop off from last year's 94.1-mph figure.

Charlie Morton's curveball rate has fallen by 8.7% from last season to this one (42.4% to 33.7%) .

Charlie Morton is projected to have 6.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -185

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future

The shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Charlie Morton is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.8% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #8 HR venue among all major league parks in today's game.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Charlie Morton's 93-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.1-mph drop off from last year's 94.1-mph figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Compared to their .319 overall projected rate, the .308 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Cincinnati Reds projected lineup in today's game suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit a bit watered down.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the worst ballpark in the league for walks.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Charlie Morton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Charlie Morton's fastball spin rate has increased 103 rpm this year (2352 rpm) over where it was last season (2249 rpm).

Charlie Morton is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -121

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -113

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Charlie Morton has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, throwing 5.1 more adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.

Compared to their .319 overall projected rate, the .308 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Cincinnati Reds projected lineup in today's game suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit a bit watered down.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the worst ballpark in the league for walks.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Charlie Morton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future

The shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Charlie Morton is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.8% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #8 HR venue among all major league parks in today's game.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Charlie Morton's 93-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1.1-mph drop off from last year's 94.1-mph figure.

Charlie Morton is projected to have 16.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.