Casey Mize Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -130

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The #6 park in baseball for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

In the majors, George M. Steinbrenner Field's CF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.

Because flyball pitchers hold a significant edge over flyball hitters, Casey Mize and his 45.3% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in this matchup matching up with 3 opposing FB hitters.

Casey Mize has gone to his change-up 7.4% more often this season (25.5%) than he did last season (18.1%).

Casey Mize's 75th percentile Walk% (6.5% this year) is evidence of his strong control ability.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all major league parks.

Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Casey Mize will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Casey Mize's fastball velocity has fallen 1.6 mph this year (93.8 mph) below where it was last season (95.4 mph).

Casey Mize has been lucky this year, posting a 2.96 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.36 — a 1.4 discrepancy.

Casey Mize is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest average fence height among all major league parks.

Among every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Casey Mize will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Casey Mize's fastball velocity has fallen 1.6 mph this year (93.8 mph) below where it was last season (95.4 mph).

Casey Mize has been lucky this year, posting a 2.96 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.36 — a 1.4 discrepancy.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The #6 park in baseball for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

In the majors, George M. Steinbrenner Field's CF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.

Because flyball pitchers hold a significant edge over flyball hitters, Casey Mize and his 45.3% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in this matchup matching up with 3 opposing FB hitters.

Casey Mize has gone to his change-up 7.4% more often this season (25.5%) than he did last season (18.1%).

The 7.5% Barrel% of the Tampa Bay Rays grades them out as the #26 group of hitters in the league this year by this stat.

Casey Mize is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.