Casey Mize Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -157

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 118

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-least humidity of all games today at 39%.

Casey Mize has relied on his change-up 7.5% more often this year (25.6%) than he did last season (18.1%).

Casey Mize has notched a 12.4% Swinging Strike% this year, placing in the 79th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Shane Livensparger) behind the plate in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 2nd-worst field in the majors for strikeouts.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Casey Mize (46.4% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 3 FB hitters in Kansas City's projected offense.

Casey Mize will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Casey Mize is projected to have 3.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 115

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Kansas City Royals have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Shane Livensparger) behind the plate in today's game.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #1 stadium in the game for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Casey Mize (46.4% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 3 FB hitters in Kansas City's projected offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Kauffman Stadium has the deepest RF dimensions in the majors.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-least humidity of all games today at 39%.

In his previous outing, Casey Mize performed well and gave up 0 ER.

Casey Mize has relied on his change-up 7.5% more often this year (25.6%) than he did last season (18.1%).

Ranking in the 77th percentile, Casey Mize has recorded a 3.71 K/BB rate this year.

Casey Mize is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -120

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -111

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Generating 17.9 outs per GS this year on average, Casey Mize ranks in the 89th percentile.

Kauffman Stadium has the deepest RF dimensions in the majors.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-least humidity of all games today at 39%.

In his previous outing, Casey Mize performed well and gave up 0 ER.

Casey Mize has relied on his change-up 7.5% more often this year (25.6%) than he did last season (18.1%).

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Kansas City Royals have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Shane Livensparger) behind the plate in today's game.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #1 stadium in the game for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Casey Mize (46.4% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 3 FB hitters in Kansas City's projected offense.

Casey Mize is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.