Carlos Rodón Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -156

Strikeouts 5.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Carlos Rodon in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

Carlos Rodon has been given an above-average leash since the start of last season, throwing 6.9 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.

Austin Wells, the Yankees's expected catcher in today's game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 43°.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.3% underlying K%.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Andy Fletcher) in charge of the strike zone today.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today.

Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Carlos Rodon (42.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in Arizona's projected batting order.

Carlos Rodon’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2328 rpm) has been considerably lower than than his seasonal rate (2384 rpm).

Carlos Rodon is projected to have 5.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -155

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Andy Fletcher) in charge of the strike zone today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Yankee Stadium as the 4th-best stadium in the game for home runs.

Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences among all parks.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today.

Carlos Rodon is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #4 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this game.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the luckiest offense in the game since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward

Austin Wells, the Yankees's expected catcher in today's game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 6th-deepest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Yankee Stadium.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup projects the lowest temperature of all games today at 43°.

Carlos Rodon will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats in all categories.

Carlos Rodon is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.