Atlanta Braves
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: -125
Strikeouts 3.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tony Randazzo) in charge of the strike zone today.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Bryce Elder (48.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 4 FB hitters in Los Angeles's projected batting order.
Bryce Elder will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Among all starting pitchers, Bryce Elder's fastball velocity of 90.3 mph is in the 8th percentile since the start of last season.
Bryce Elder's 2154-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 25th percentile among all starters.
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Bryce Elder has utilized his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 55.3% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.
Bryce Elder is projected to have 4 Strikeouts in today's game.
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense projects as the best on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.
The #2 field in the majors for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.
Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest.
On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Bryce Elder (48.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 4 FB hitters in Los Angeles's projected batting order.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Tony Randazzo) in charge of the strike zone today.
Bryce Elder is an extreme groundball pitcher (48.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in today's game.
Given the 1.93 gap between Bryce Elder's 6.52 ERA and his 4.59 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball since the start of last season and ought to see positive regression going forward.
Bryce Elder has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play since the start of last season with a .357 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.
Bryce Elder is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.
Hits Allowed | |
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![]() | ov 4.5 (-114) un 4.5 (-119) |
![]() | ov 4.5 (-115) un 4.5 (-120) |
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Total Earned Runs Allowed | |
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![]() | ov 2.5 (-127) un 2.5 (-107) |
![]() | ov 2.5 (-130) un 2.5 (-105) |
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