Brayan Bello Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 110

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -141

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game projects the 5th-lowest temperature of the day at 55°.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Brayan Bello will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brayan Bello has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, compiling a 5.74 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.67 — a 1.93 K/9 difference.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 5th-worst field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.

Because of his large platoon split, Brayan Bello will have a tough challenge squaring off against 7 hitters in the projected offense who bat from the other side in today's matchup.

Brayan Bello's 94.5-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.2-mph fall off from last season's 95.7-mph mark.

Brayan Bello is projected to have 3.7 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -105

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest fences in MLB.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game projects the 5th-lowest temperature of the day at 55°.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Brayan Bello will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brayan Bello was in good form in his previous start and allowed 1 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It may be wise to expect stronger performance for the Baltimore Orioles offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.

Brayan Bello is projected to have 15 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -145

Earned Runs 2.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be wise to expect stronger performance for the Baltimore Orioles offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Fenway Park.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest fences in MLB.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this game projects the 5th-lowest temperature of the day at 55°.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Brayan Bello will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brayan Bello was in good form in his previous start and allowed 1 ER.

Brayan Bello is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.