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Bowden Francis

Toronto Blue Jays

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Seattle Mariners

09:40 PM

May 10, 2025

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Toronto Blue Jays

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -130

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The Seattle Mariners have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future

Vic Carapazza profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be umping today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst field in baseball for batting average.

T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league.

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among every team playing today.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bowden Francis in today's game.

Bowden Francis's 91.7-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.1-mph drop off from last year's 92.8-mph mark.

Bowden Francis's 2236-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a substantial 128-rpm decrease from last year's 2364-rpm mark.

Bowden Francis is projected to have 15.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -140

Earned Runs 2.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league.

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among every team playing today.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bowden Francis in today's game.

Bowden Francis's 91.7-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.1-mph drop off from last year's 92.8-mph mark.

Bowden Francis's 2236-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a substantial 128-rpm decrease from last year's 2364-rpm mark.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Seattle Mariners have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future

Vic Carapazza profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be umping today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst field in baseball for batting average.

T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate.

Bowden Francis is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 115

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -147

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Vic Carapazza profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be umping today.

The #2 venue in the game for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate.

Given that groundball pitchers have a significant advantage over groundball hitters, Bowden Francis and his 40.2% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot in this game facing 3 opposing GB hitters.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bowden Francis in today's game.

Bowden Francis's 91.7-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1.1-mph drop off from last year's 92.8-mph mark.

Bowden Francis's 2236-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a substantial 128-rpm decrease from last year's 2364-rpm mark.

Bowden Francis has utilized his four-seam fastball 7.5% more often this season (56.7%) than he did last year (49.2%).

Bowden Francis is projected to have 4.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Bowden Francis Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (127)
un 5.5 (-177)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-165)
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ov 5.5 (115)
un 5.5 (-165)
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Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-142)
un 2.5 (103)
ov 2.5 (-150)
un 2.5 (110)
-
ov 2.5 (-150)
un 2.5 (105)
ov 2.5 (-137)
un 2.5 (100)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 15.5 (-114)
un 15.5 (-121)
ov 15.5 (100)
un 15.5 (-135)
ov 15.5 (-130)
un 15.5 (100)
ov 15.5 (-105)
un 15.5 (-140)
ov 15.5 (-125)
un 15.5 (-109)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (108)
un 4.5 (-142)
ov 4.5 (115)
un 4.5 (-150)
ov 4.5 (104)
un 4.5 (-132)
ov 4.5 (115)
un 4.5 (-150)
ov 4.5 (104)
un 4.5 (-142)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-170)
un 1.5 (120)
ov 1.5 (-170)
un 1.5 (120)
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