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Ben Brown

Chicago Cubs

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Cincinnati Reds

01:40 PM

May 25, 2025

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Chicago Cubs

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Clint Vondrak) calling pitches in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best venue in baseball for home runs.

The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.

Ben Brown is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue in the league in this matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ben Brown in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ben Brown in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

The 5th-weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

Considering the 1.83 gap between Ben Brown's 5.44 ERA and his 3.61 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year and figures to see positive regression the rest of the season.

Ben Brown has recorded a .402 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in MLB on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

Ben Brown has put up a 3.8 K/BB rate this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.

Ben Brown is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 126

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -174

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ben Brown in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

The 5th-weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

Considering the 1.83 gap between Ben Brown's 5.44 ERA and his 3.61 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year and figures to see positive regression the rest of the season.

Ben Brown has recorded a .402 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in MLB on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

Ben Brown has notched a 12.1% Swinging Strike percentage this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ben Brown is projected to throw 85 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Clint Vondrak) calling pitches in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best venue in baseball for home runs.

The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.

Ben Brown is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #1 HR venue in the league in this matchup.

Ben Brown is projected to have 15 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -155

Strikeouts 5.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ben Brown in the 93rd percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt McLain, Will Benson, Elly De La Cruz).

Ben Brown has notched a 12.1% Swinging Strike percentage this year, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Grading out in the 89th percentile, Ben Brown has put up a 28.5% Strikeout% this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ben Brown is projected to throw 85 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Clint Vondrak) calling pitches in today's game.

The #10 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ben Brown in today's matchup.

Ben Brown's 94.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1.8-mph fall off from last season's 96.5-mph figure.

Ben Brown is projected to have 5.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Ben Brown Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-122)
un 4.5 (-114)
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-110)
-
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (-110)
ov 4.5 (-121)
un 4.5 (-113)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (114)
un 2.5 (-157)
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-145)
-
ov 2.5 (105)
un 2.5 (-150)
ov 2.5 (112)
un 2.5 (-154)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 15.5 (121)
un 15.5 (-168)
ov 15.5 (120)
un 15.5 (-160)
ov 15.5 (126)
un 15.5 (-174)
ov 15.5 (115)
un 15.5 (-165)
ov 15.5 (126)
un 15.5 (-174)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-146)
un 5.5 (111)
ov 5.5 (-155)
un 5.5 (120)
ov 5.5 (-138)
un 5.5 (108)
ov 5.5 (-150)
un 5.5 (115)
ov 5.5 (-142)
un 5.5 (104)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-136)
un 1.5 (-103)
ov 1.5 (-135)
un 1.5 (-105)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-137)
un 1.5 (100)

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