Ben Brown Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -110

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ben Brown in the 85th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jim Wolf) in charge of the strike zone today.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate at 49°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Because of his reverse platoon split, Ben Brown will benefit from squaring off against 6 hitters in the projected batting order of opposing handedness in today's outing.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Ben Brown will hold that advantage today.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

Because groundball batters have a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Ben Brown and his 33.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough spot in this game facing 1 opposing GB batters.

Ben Brown's fastball velocity has decreased 1.8 mph this year (94.7 mph) below where it was last season (96.5 mph).

Ben Brown's 2204-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 17th percentile among all SPs.

Ben Brown's high utilization percentage of his fastball (63.7% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Ben Brown is projected to have 5.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -150

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Because groundball batters have a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Ben Brown and his 33.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough spot in this game facing 1 opposing GB batters.

Ben Brown's fastball velocity has decreased 1.8 mph this year (94.7 mph) below where it was last season (96.5 mph).

Ben Brown's 2204-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 17th percentile among all SPs.

Ben Brown's high utilization percentage of his fastball (63.7% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Arizona Diamondbacks batters as a group have been among the best in MLB since the start of last season (6th-) when assessing their 89.3-mph average exit velocity.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ben Brown in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Arizona Diamondbacks in this game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .317, which is significantly worse than their actual wOBA of .349 this year.

It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jim Wolf) in charge of the strike zone today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 3rd-worst venue in the league for walks.

Ben Brown is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 105

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ben Brown in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Arizona Diamondbacks in this game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .317, which is significantly worse than their actual wOBA of .349 this year.

It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jim Wolf) in charge of the strike zone today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 3rd-worst venue in the league for walks.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Generating 14.5 outs per game per started since the start of last season on average, Ben Brown places in the 14th percentile.

Because groundball batters have a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Ben Brown and his 33.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough spot in this game facing 1 opposing GB batters.

Ben Brown's fastball velocity has decreased 1.8 mph this year (94.7 mph) below where it was last season (96.5 mph).

Ben Brown's 2204-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 17th percentile among all SPs.

Ben Brown's high utilization percentage of his fastball (63.7% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Ben Brown is projected to have 15.4 Pitching Outs in today's game.