Colorado Rockies
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: 130
Strikeouts 3.5 under: -170
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
Because of his reverse platoon split, Austin Gomber figures to be at an advantage facing 8 hitters in the projected offense who bat from the other side in this game.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Austin Gomber will hold that advantage today.
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Austin Gomber must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls a lot since the start of last season: 60% of the time, grading out in the 80th percentile.
Austin Gomber has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting a 6.36 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.07 — a 0.71 K/9 difference.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Austin Gomber in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Gomber to throw 84 pitches today (least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The Arizona Diamondbacks (19.4 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy team of hitters on the slate today.
Hunter Goodman, the Rockies's expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Coors Field ranks as the #30 venue in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Austin Gomber is projected to have 3 Strikeouts in today's game.
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 3.5 over: -150
Earned Runs 3.5 under: 110
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
Hunter Goodman, the Rockies's expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #1 field in the majors for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 97°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected offense today (.313 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal worse than their .334 wOBA this year.
It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
Because of his reverse platoon split, Austin Gomber figures to be at an advantage facing 8 hitters in the projected offense who bat from the other side in this game.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Austin Gomber will hold that advantage today.
In his last GS, Austin Gomber was rolling and conceded 0 ER.
Austin Gomber is projected to have 3.9 Earned Runs in today's game.