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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 3.5 over: -145

Earned Runs 3.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Antonio Senzatela in the 12th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

The New York Mets projected offense grades out as the 5th-best of the day in terms of overall batting skill.

Projected catcher Hunter Goodman profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Antonio Senzatela's 2218-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers.

Antonio Senzatela's high usage rate of his fastball (57.2% this year) is likely dampening his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Chris Conroy grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in this game.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching on the slate today.

Antonio Senzatela is an extreme groundball pitcher (47.3% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #7 HR venue among all parks — in this game.

Because groundball pitchers have a notable advantage over groundball bats, Antonio Senzatela and his 47.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in this outing matching up with 3 opposing GB bats.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Antonio Senzatela will hold that advantage in today's game.

Antonio Senzatela is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 2.5 over: -140

Strikeouts 2.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Chris Conroy grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in this game.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching on the slate today.

Because groundball pitchers have a notable advantage over groundball bats, Antonio Senzatela and his 47.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in this outing matching up with 3 opposing GB bats.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Antonio Senzatela will hold that advantage in today's game.

With a 0.94 gap between Antonio Senzatela's 4.81 K/9 and his 5.75 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to positively regress in the future.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Antonio Senzatela in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Antonio Senzatela to throw 78 pitches in today's game (5th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Projected catcher Hunter Goodman profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his last game started, Antonio Senzatela struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 0 Ks.

Antonio Senzatela's 2218-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers.

Antonio Senzatela is projected to have 2.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Antonio Senzatela Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 6.5 (-140)
un 6.5 (110)
ov 6.5 (-140)
un 6.5 (100)
-
ov 6.5 (-145)
un 6.5 (105)
ov 6.5 (-140)
un 6.5 (110)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 3.5 (-135)
un 3.5 (105)
ov 3.5 (-120)
un 3.5 (-115)
-
ov 3.5 (-135)
un 3.5 (-105)
ov 3.5 (-135)
un 3.5 (105)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 2.5 (-139)
un 2.5 (108)
ov 2.5 (-140)
un 2.5 (110)
ov 2.5 (-134)
un 2.5 (106)
ov 2.5 (-145)
un 2.5 (110)
ov 2.5 (-140)
un 2.5 (110)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-130)
un 1.5 (100)
ov 1.5 (-130)
un 1.5 (-105)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-130)
un 1.5 (100)

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