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AJ Smith-Shawver

Atlanta Braves

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Philadelphia Phillies

01:05 PM

May 29, 2025

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Atlanta Braves

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -120

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts AJ Smith-Shawver in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

The 5th-best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The 8th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Citizens Bank Park.

This contest is expected to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for AJ Smith-Shawver today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #21 field in the game for base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to worse offense.

The Atlanta Braves outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of every team in action today.

In his previous game started, AJ Smith-Shawver was rolling and conceded 2 ER.

Among all starters, AJ Smith-Shawver's fastball velocity of 94.9 mph ranks in the 81st percentile this year.

AJ Smith-Shawver is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 110

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -141

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to worse offense.

Among all starters, AJ Smith-Shawver's fastball velocity of 94.9 mph ranks in the 81st percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Philadelphia Phillies with a 21.6% underlying K%.

This contest is expected to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for AJ Smith-Shawver today.

AJ Smith-Shawver's 2101-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 5th percentile among all SPs.

AJ Smith-Shawver is projected to have 4.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -105

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #21 field in the game for base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to worse offense.

The Atlanta Braves outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of every team in action today.

In his previous game started, AJ Smith-Shawver was rolling and conceded 2 ER.

Among all starters, AJ Smith-Shawver's fastball velocity of 94.9 mph ranks in the 81st percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts AJ Smith-Shawver in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

The 5th-best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

The 8th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Citizens Bank Park.

This contest is expected to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for AJ Smith-Shawver today.

AJ Smith-Shawver is projected to have 15.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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AJ Smith-Shawver Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-156)
un 4.5 (115)
ov 4.5 (-155)
un 4.5 (110)
-
ov 4.5 (-155)
un 4.5 (110)
ov 4.5 (-150)
un 4.5 (120)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-120)
un 2.5 (-113)
ov 2.5 (-120)
un 2.5 (-110)
-
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-115)
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-115)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 15.5 (-105)
un 15.5 (-129)
ov 15.5 (-105)
un 15.5 (-130)
ov 15.5 (100)
un 15.5 (-130)
ov 15.5 (-110)
un 15.5 (-130)
ov 15.5 (-105)
un 15.5 (-125)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (102)
un 4.5 (-134)
ov 4.5 (105)
un 4.5 (-135)
ov 4.5 (104)
un 4.5 (-132)
ov 4.5 (105)
un 4.5 (-135)
ov 4.5 (-105)
un 4.5 (-125)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-183)
un 1.5 (132)
ov 1.5 (-185)
un 1.5 (130)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-180)
un 1.5 (135)

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