AJ Smith-Shawver Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 115

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts AJ Smith-Shawver in the 20th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of the day at 85°.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, AJ Smith-Shawver (38.1% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 FB hitters in Miami's projected offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The worst projected offense on the slate in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Miami Marlins.

The Miami Marlins have been the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games

Among all stadiums, Truist Park's LF fences are the 2nd-deepest.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for mound aces.

AJ Smith-Shawver is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.1% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #25 HR venue among all stadiums today.

AJ Smith-Shawver is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 14.5 over: -170

Pitching Outs 14.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The worst projected offense on the slate in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Miami Marlins.

The Miami Marlins have been the 5th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games

Among all stadiums, Truist Park's LF fences are the 2nd-deepest.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for mound aces.

AJ Smith-Shawver is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.1% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #25 HR venue among all stadiums today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts AJ Smith-Shawver in the 20th percentile when assessing his overall pitching skills.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, AJ Smith-Shawver is projected to throw 84 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least on the slate.

The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of the day at 85°.

AJ Smith-Shawver is projected to have 15.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 120

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Derek Hill, Griffin Conine, Matt Mervis, Kyle Stowers).

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for mound aces.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and AJ Smith-Shawver will hold that advantage today.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, AJ Smith-Shawver is projected to throw 84 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least on the slate.

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of the day at 85°.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, AJ Smith-Shawver (38.1% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 FB hitters in Miami's projected offense.

AJ Smith-Shawver is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today's game.