• Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: 112

Strikeouts 3.5 under: -142

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Citi Field profiles as the #4 field in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 6th-driest conditions of the day at 39%.

Considering that flyball pitchers have a sizeable edge over flyball bats, Adrian Houser and his 48.3% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good spot in this outing matching up with 2 opposing FB bats.

Adrian Houser has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting a 5.61 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.14 — a 0.53 K/9 disparity.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Adrian Houser in the 4th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adrian Houser to throw 85 pitches in this game (6th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (John Libka) calling pitches in this game.

The New York Mets have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Adrian Houser in this matchup.

Adrian Houser will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Adrian Houser is projected to have 3.1 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -170

Earned Runs 2.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The New York Mets projected batting order profiles as the 2nd-strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (John Libka) calling pitches in this game.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.

The New York Mets have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Adrian Houser in this matchup.

Out of every team playing today, the 8th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The #2 park in the game for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 6th-driest conditions of the day at 39%.

Considering that flyball pitchers have a sizeable edge over flyball bats, Adrian Houser and his 48.3% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good spot in this outing matching up with 2 opposing FB bats.

Adrian Houser was rolling in his previous start and conceded 0 ER.

Adrian Houser is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 14.5 over: -150

Pitching Outs 14.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The #2 park in the game for suppressing batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 6th-driest conditions of the day at 39%.

Considering that flyball pitchers have a sizeable edge over flyball bats, Adrian Houser and his 48.3% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good spot in this outing matching up with 2 opposing FB bats.

Adrian Houser was rolling in his previous start and conceded 0 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adrian Houser to throw 85 pitches in this game (6th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The New York Mets projected batting order profiles as the 2nd-strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (John Libka) calling pitches in this game.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.

The New York Mets have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Adrian Houser in this matchup.

Adrian Houser is projected to have 14.7 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Adrian Houser Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (119)
un 5.5 (-165)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-155)
-
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-155)
ov 5.5 (126)
un 5.5 (-174)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-166)
un 2.5 (119)
ov 2.5 (-170)
un 2.5 (125)
-
ov 2.5 (-175)
un 2.5 (120)
ov 2.5 (-154)
un 2.5 (112)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 14.5 (-155)
un 14.5 (113)
ov 14.5 (-150)
un 14.5 (110)
ov 14.5 (-152)
un 14.5 (112)
ov 14.5 (-155)
un 14.5 (110)
ov 14.5 (-166)
un 14.5 (120)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (113)
un 3.5 (-148)
ov 3.5 (115)
un 3.5 (-145)
ov 3.5 (112)
un 3.5 (-142)
ov 3.5 (115)
un 3.5 (-150)
ov 3.5 (108)
un 3.5 (-148)
Walks Allowed
ov 2.5 (131)
un 2.5 (-185)
ov 2.5 (130)
un 2.5 (-185)
-
-
ov 2.5 (133)
un 2.5 (-184)

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