Aaron Nola Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -108

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -118

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Aaron Nola in the 77th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

Aaron Nola has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 7.5 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than league average.

Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Given that groundball pitchers hold a substantial advantage over groundball batters, Aaron Nola and his 43.2% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong spot in today's game going up against 2 opposing GB batters.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Aaron Nola will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup in today's games is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20.2% underlying K%.

Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto grades out as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-best hitting conditions on the slate today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in this game.

Aaron Nola is projected to have 5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -150

Earned Runs 2.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Arizona Diamondbacks projected offense profiles as the 4th-strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto grades out as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the majors, Citizens Bank Park's left field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-best hitting conditions on the slate today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Aaron Nola in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

The #7 park in the majors for suppressing walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Given that groundball pitchers hold a substantial advantage over groundball batters, Aaron Nola and his 43.2% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong spot in today's game going up against 2 opposing GB batters.

Aaron Nola is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.