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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 14.5 over: -170

Pitching Outs 14.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Boston Red Sox offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Adam Hamari projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

American Family Field profiles as the #27 ballpark in the league for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Aaron Civale will hold that advantage today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Among all major league parks, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fences in the league.

Aaron Civale gave up a monstrous 5 earned runs in his last outing.

With a 5.03 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things most within a pitcher's control), Aaron Civale checks in at the 10th percentile.

Placing in the 17th percentile, Aaron Civale put up an 8.8% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season.

Aaron Civale is projected to have 15.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Among all major league parks, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

American Family Field has the 7th-lowest fences in the league.

Aaron Civale gave up a monstrous 5 earned runs in his last outing.

With a 5.03 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that is concerned with the things most within a pitcher's control), Aaron Civale checks in at the 10th percentile.

Boston Red Sox batters collectively rank 2nd- in the game for power this year when using their 11.3% Barrel%.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Boston Red Sox offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Adam Hamari projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

American Family Field profiles as the #27 ballpark in the league for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Aaron Civale will hold that advantage today.

Aaron Civale is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -150

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Boston Red Sox (24.9% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-most strikeout-prone group of batters on the slate.

Adam Hamari projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

The #1 venue in the game for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Aaron Civale will hold that advantage today.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.

Aaron Civale didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his previous game started and put up 2 Ks.

Given the 0.69 difference between Aaron Civale's 8.25 K/9 and his 7.56 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see negative regression in the future.

Placing in the 17th percentile, Aaron Civale put up an 8.8% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season.

Aaron Civale is projected to have 5.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Aaron Civale Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-115)
un 4.5 (-121)
ov 4.5 (-120)
un 4.5 (-115)
-
ov 4.5 (-120)
un 4.5 (-118)
ov 4.5 (100)
un 4.5 (-137)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (108)
un 2.5 (-148)
ov 2.5 (105)
un 2.5 (-140)
-
ov 2.5 (100)
un 2.5 (-145)
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-166)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-149)
un 4.5 (112)
ov 4.5 (-140)
un 4.5 (105)
ov 5.5 (136)
un 5.5 (-174)
ov 4.5 (-165)
un 4.5 (125)
ov 4.5 (-154)
un 4.5 (112)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (102)
un 1.5 (-140)
ov 1.5 (110)
un 1.5 (-150)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-106)
un 1.5 (-129)

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