Aaron Civale Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -140

Earned Runs 2.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Stu Scheurwater) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-best park in baseball for home runs.

Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.

Given his reverse platoon split, Aaron Civale will be in a tough position matching up with 7 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the same side in this matchup.

Aaron Civale is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.1% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #4 HR venue in the league in this matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The league's 8th-tallest fences can be found at Rogers Centre.

The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Aaron Civale has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .321 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Aaron Civale is projected to have 3.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: 114

Strikeouts 3.5 under: -146

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 8th-best field in the game for strikeouts.

The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 17.5% underlying K%.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Stu Scheurwater) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Given his reverse platoon split, Aaron Civale will be in a tough position matching up with 7 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the same side in this matchup.

Given that groundball batters have a big edge over flyball pitchers, Aaron Civale and his 38.1% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome spot today facing 2 opposing GB hitters.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Aaron Civale today.

Aaron Civale is projected to have 2.9 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -125

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The league's 8th-tallest fences can be found at Rogers Centre.

The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Aaron Civale has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .321 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Recording 13.5 outs per GS this year on average, Aaron Civale places in the 11th percentile.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Stu Scheurwater) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 4th-best park in baseball for home runs.

Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.

Given his reverse platoon split, Aaron Civale will be in a tough position matching up with 7 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the same side in this matchup.

Aaron Civale is projected to have 15.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.