Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners Prediction – 7/5/2025
The Pittsburgh Pirates take on the Seattle Mariners tonight at T‑Mobile Park. Seattle enters as a favorite after a 6‑0 shutout last night, while Pittsburgh looks to rebound from having their winning streak snapped. Here’s your expert preview and betting breakdown for this game, including my Pirates vs Mariners prediction for the night. Seattle’s Luis Castillo might not be a Cy Young caliber starting pitcher right now but he still brings plenty to the table. He’s 4-5 as a starter this season, with a 3.55 ERA. Pittsburgh’s Mike Burrows is 1-2 with a 4.15 ERA. Burrows is striking out about a batter per inning and will look to use that to his advantage to keep Seattle’s power hitters like Cal Raleigh at bay. Seattle’s bullpen helped shut out the Pirates on Saturday night. They rank ninth in the league in bullpen ERA this year, while the Pirates rank 10th in that department, slightly worse than the Mariners. Pittsburgh had a six‑game winning streak snapped against Seattle last night and will look to start a new streak tonight. Seattle has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and will look for a second straight win in this contest. Score Projection: Seattle 5 – Pittsburgh 3 Pittsburgh has been playing well of late, but their momentum was halted by the Mariners on Friday night. We expect Seattle to maintain the upper hand in this series tonight, thanks to the pitching of Castillo. Take the Mariners to win this contest, as they should improve to 2-0 on the year against the Pirates in a game we project them to win 5-3.Our Pirates vs Mariners Pick
Game Snapshot
Key Storylines
Pitching Form
Bullpen Usage
Recent Team Streaks
Best Player Props
Player Prop Line Cal Raleigh (SEA) Home Runs O 0.5 (+205) Luis Castillo (SEA) Strikeouts O 5.5 (–130) Oneil Cruz (PIT) Total Bases Over 1.5 (+175) Betting Trends & H2H
Pirates vs Mariners Model Projection
Win Probability: Seattle 60%, Pittsburgh 40%Final Thoughts
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