Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants Pick – 7/30/2025
The San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates will face off on Wednesday afternoon at Oracle Park in San Francisco. Pittsburgh has taken the first two games of this series in surprising fashion. They will look to complete a three-game sweep by beating the Giants’ top starting pitcher today. Continue reading to get a full breakdown of this National League matchup, including my Pirates vs Giants prediction.
Our Pirates vs Giants Pick
- Pick: San Francisco Giants -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Date & Time | July 30, 2025, 3:45 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Logan Webb vs. Mike Burrows |
| Stadium | Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA |
| Broadcast | NBC Sports Bay Area |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Form: Mike Burrows gets the start for the Pirates in this contest. Burrows is 1-3 with a 4.15 ERA on the season. He has not received a win since June 4 and has been a victim of the lack of run support for Pirates pitchers on many occasions. Logan Webb will get the ball for the Giants today. Webb is 9-8 with a 3.38 ERA. He has allowed 10 runs in 10 innings of work since the All-Star break.
Bullpen Usage: The Giants’ bullpen has been one of the best in baseball this year. They are second in the league in bullpen ERA. But the Pirates bullpen has been the one getting the job done in this series. Pittsburgh has come through with key outs in late-game situations throughout the first two games of the series and will look to close the door on the Giants again today.
Team Momentum: The Giants have struggled recently with five straight losses. Pittsburgh has won four games in a row and will look to complete the sweep in this three-game set.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Bryan Reynolds | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Logan Webb | Strikeouts | Over 6.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- The Pirates are 2-0 against the Giants so far this year.
- After this game, these teams will play three more times in Pittsburgh in early August.
- The first two games of this series have gone 1-1 in the over/under market.
- The Pirates are 19-26 in day games this year.
- San Francisco is 23-23 in their day games.
Pirates vs Giants Model Projection
Projected Score: Giants 5 – Pirates 3
Win Probability: Giants 65%, Pirates 35%
Final Thoughts
This seems like a great bounce-back spot for the Giants and Logan Webb. Webb has struggled recently, but I think a game against the Pirates is just what he needs to get himself back to the form we saw before the All-Star break. Look for Webb to enjoy a quality start here and for the Giants to win this game with enough margin to cover the runline and avoid a sweep.
