Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies Prediction – 8/3/2025
The Colorado Rockies and Pittsburgh Pirates will wrap up their three-game series from Coors Field on Sunday afternoon. The Rockies have won the first two games of this series in surprising fashion and will look to claim a sweep with a win at home here. Before first pitch from Coors Field, continue reading to get my breakdown of this matchup, including my Pirates vs Rockies prediction.
Our Pirates vs Rockies Pick
- Pick: Over 11.5
- Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 3, 2025, 3:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Mitch Keller vs Bradley Blalock
- Stadium: Coors Field, Denver, CO
- Broadcast: MLB.tv
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Mitch Keller has been solid for Pittsburgh this season. He is 4-10 but has a 3.69 ERA that suggests he’s better than his record. The question for Pirates starters is always whether their team can score them some runs and if their bullpen can keep it together late. Bradley Blalock continues to struggle for the Rockies. Blalock is 1-1 with a 7.09 ERA. Keller has the advantage in this pitching matchup. But Paul Skenes also had the edge for the Pirates yesterday and Pittsburgh still lost that game.
Key Players
Pirates:
- Lioven Peguero hit three home runs for the Pirates on Saturday and will look to contribute in this game as well.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa went 2-4 for the Pirates on Saturday and leads the team with a .273 batting average.
Rockies:
- Jordan Beck hit a key 3‑run homer yesterday and will be important for the Rockies today.
- Warming Bernabel has made a major impact since being called up for the Rockies.
Recent team streaks
The Pirates have lost two games in a row after winning five straight games coming into this series. The Rockies have the worst record in baseball but they are in the midst of a two-game winning streak.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | HR | Over 0.5 |
| Bryan Reynolds | HR | Over 0.5 |
| Warming Bernabel | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Rockies are 2-0 against the Pirates in their two meetings this season.
- Both games in this series have gone well over their respective totals.
- Colorado has averaged 12.5 runs per game in this series.
- Pittsburgh is averaging 10.5 runs per game in this series but they have lost both games.
Pirates vs Rockies Model Projection
Score Projection: Pirates 8 – Rockies 7
Win Probability: Pirates 62 %, Rockies 38 %
Final Thoughts
I would be shocked if we don’t see another high-scoring game between the Pirates and Rockies on Sunday afternoon. Both pitching staffs in this series have been terrible. Even Paul Skenes has struggled to find his footing at Coors Field this weekend. I’ll take the over in this game, even if the total is set at a lofty 11.5 runs.
