Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies Prediction – 8/2/2025
The Pittsburgh Pirates head into Saturday afternoon’s showdown with the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field with a bad taste in their mouth. After a crazy 17‑16 loss on Friday, Pittsburgh will lean on ace Paul Skenes to avenge that loss. Colorado will attempt to build on that victory on Friday by beating one of the best pitchers in baseball. Here, I break this game down and give you my Pirates vs Rockies prediction for Saturday.
Our Pirates vs Rockies Pick
- Pick: Pirates -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 2, 2025, 3:10 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Paul Skenes (PIT) vs Austin Gomber (COL)
- Stadium: Coors Field, Denver, CO
- Broadcast: COLR and SportsNet PT
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Pittsburgh rolls out Paul Skenes for this game. Skenes is arguably the best pitcher in baseball right now. He has an impressive 1.83 ERA and an elite strikeout rate. But Skenes is just 6-8 this season thanks to the struggles of the team around him. He faces Austin Gomber in this pitching matchup. Gomber has a record of 0-5 and a 6.28 ERA. He has surrendered 54 hits in just 38.2 innings of work.
Key Players
Oneil Cruz remains a dynamic threat for Pittsburgh with 18 home runs and 48 RBI. Andrew McCutchen’s veteran savvy and recent power production make him dangerous as well. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates in RBI and has looked sharp of late. Hunter Goodman is the best hitter on the Rockies by a wide margin. But overall, the Rockies’ offense ranks among the worst in baseball.
Recent team streaks
The Pirates had a five‑game win streak snapped Friday. Colorado’s 17-16 win over Pittsburgh snapped a two-game losing streak.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes | Strikeouts | 7+ |
| Oneil Cruz | Total Bases | 2+ |
| Hunter Goodman | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Rockies are 1-0 against the Pirates this season after winning in Colorado on Friday.
- The lone meeting between these teams went comfortably over the total.
- Colorado has given up 10+ runs in two of their last three games.
- Pittsburgh is 16-38 on the road this season.
- Colorado is 15-38 at home.
Pirates vs Rockies Model Projection
Score Projection: Pirates 6 – Rockies 4
Win Probability: Pirates 62%, Rockies 38%
Final Thoughts
Paul Skenes has deserved better than what the Pirates have given him for the entirety of this season. If the Pirates can’t do enough offensively to help Skenes get a win against Colorado, Skenes should give some serious thought to continuing his career elsewhere. I think Skenes will pitch well despite the conditions in Colorado and that the Pirates will cover the runline as favorites.
