Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox Prediction – 8/30/2025
The Boston Red Sox will face the Pittsburgh Pirates at Fenway Park on Saturday afternoon. Pittsburgh won the first game of this series behind starting pitcher Paul Skenes. Skenes is no longer a concern for the Red Sox as they look to even this series at a game apiece. Before these teams face off at Fenway, continue reading to get my Pirates vs Red Sox prediction for the day.
Our Pirates vs Red Sox Pick
- Pick: Boston Red Sox -1.5
- Confidence: 3/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates at Boston Red Sox
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 30 2025, 4:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Johan Oviedo vs Dustin May
- Stadium: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Johan Oviedo will get the start in this contest. Oviedo is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in 10 innings of work this year. He is working his way back from a long injury absence and will try to continue putting forth encouraging performances here. Oviedo will go up against Dustin May of the Red Sox. May is 7-10 with a 4.79 ERA and his 50 walks allowed in 124 innings is concerning.
Key Players
- Tommy Pham and Andrew McCutchen both knocked in runs via extra-base hits on Friday and will look to torment the Red Sox again here.
- Roman Anthony hit a home run for the Sox last night. He is hitting .295 in his 2025 season for Boston.
Recent team streaks
Pittsburgh has won three of its last four games after their win over the Sox on Friday. Boston has won four of its last five but their most recent game was a loss to the Pirates.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Trevor Story | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Dustin May | Over 4.5 Strikeouts |
| Oneil Cruz | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- Pittsburgh holds a 1-0 lead in the season series between these teams this year.
- The first game of this series had a total of six runs scored and it stayed under the total.
- Boston is 41-26 at home for the season despite Friday’s loss.
- Pittsburgh is 21-46 on the road for the year.
Pirates vs Red Sox Model Projection
Score Projection: Pittsburgh 3 – Boston 5
Win Probability: Pittsburgh 28%, Boston 72%
Final Thoughts
Boston will be very happy not to have to see Paul Skenes on the mound for the Pirates again in this contest. We should see the Red Sox get back on track in this game with a win at home. I’ll take the Red Sox to win this game and cover the runline at a price that is more attractive than betting on the Sox to win straight up.
