Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pick – 6/19/2025

On June 19, 2025, the Miami Marlins will host the Philadelphia Phillies at LoanDepot Park in what marks the fourth game of their series. The stakes remain high as the Phillies, with a robust record of 44-30, continue to solidify their position among the best teams in baseball. Meanwhile, the Marlins, struggling at 29-43, are looking to turn their season around after a rough start.

In their previous matchup, the Phillies showcased their dominance, securing a decisive win over the Marlins. Edward Cabrera is projected to take the mound for Miami, and while his ERA of 4.10 suggests he has been somewhat effective, Power Rankings place him at a concerning #121, indicating he is below average compared to his peers. Cabrera has only a 2-2 record this year and projects to pitch just 4.9 innings, allowing 2.3 earned runs on average.

In contrast, Cristopher Sanchez will start for Philadelphia, bringing an impressive 3.05 ERA and a ranking of #15 that highlights his elite status among MLB pitchers. Sanchez's ability to go deep into games—averaging 6.1 innings per outing—could give the Phillies a significant advantage, especially against a Miami offense that ranks 18th overall and struggles with power, sitting 26th in home runs.

The projections indicate a low game total of 7.5 runs, signaling a potential pitcher's duel. Despite the Marlins facing tough odds, their average team batting average, coupled with a matchup against a ground-ball pitcher like Sanchez, could provide a glimmer of hope. However, with a current moneyline of +155, the Marlins are significant underdogs, reflecting the difficulty they face against a potent Phillies lineup. As this series continues, Miami will need to capitalize on any opportunity to shift the momentum in their favor.

Quick Takes Philadelphia Phillies:

The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the worst among every team in action today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Quick Takes Miami Marlins:

The weakest projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Miami Marlins.

• A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Game Trends

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 55 games (+15.15 Units / 17% ROI)

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Predicted Final Score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.68, Miami Marlins 3.62

• Date: June 19, 2025
• Venue: LoanDepot Park
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Cristopher Sanchez - Phillies
  • Edward Cabrera - Marlins

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