Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Preview – 4/23/2024

Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees Overview

• Date: April 23, 2024
• Venue: Yankee Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Paul Blackburn - Athletics
  • Marcus Stroman - Yankees
• Run Line: Athletics 1.5 -120, Yankees -1.5 100
• Money Line: Athletics 180, Yankees -210
• Total (Over/Under): 8

Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Oakland Athletics - 35%
• New York Yankees - 65%

Projected Win %:

• Oakland Athletics - 33.96%
• New York Yankees - 66.04%

Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees Game Preview & Prediction

In a highly anticipated American League matchup, the New York Yankees are scheduled to face off against the Oakland Athletics on April 23, 2024, at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees, with a solid record of 15-8 this season, are having a great year, while the Athletics are struggling with a 9-14 record, making it a terrible season for them.

On the mound, the Yankees are projected to start the right-handed pitcher, Marcus Stroman. Stroman, ranked as the #47 best starting pitcher in MLB according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, has been performing exceptionally well this season. In his four starts, he boasts a 1-1 win/loss record with an impressive 2.42 ERA. However, his 3.87 xFIP suggests that he may have been lucky so far and could regress in future performances.

Opposing Stroman will be the Athletics' right-handed pitcher, Paul Blackburn. Blackburn, considered a below-average pitcher according to our Power Rankings, has been reasonably successful this season. With a 2-0 win/loss record and a stellar 1.08 ERA, Blackburn has been a bright spot for the struggling Athletics. However, his 3.80 xFIP indicates that his performance may not be sustainable.

The Yankees' offense ranks as the 12th best in MLB this season, showcasing average overall talent. Despite ranking low in team batting average (#29 out of 30 teams), they have compensated with their power, ranking 8th in home runs. On the other hand, the Athletics' offense has struggled, ranking 27th overall and dead last in team batting average.

With a projected team total of 4.69 runs, the Yankees are favored in this game, while the Athletics have a very low implied team total of 3.31 runs. The Yankees' bullpen is considered one of the best in MLB according to our Power Rankings, ranked #10, while the Athletics' bullpen ranks #21.

Both teams have their standout hitters. The Yankees will rely on their best hitter of the season, who has yet to be named, while the Athletics' best hitter has been Esteury Ruiz. Over the last seven games, the Yankees' best hitter has been Juan Soto, recording impressive statistics, including a .304 batting average and a 1.037 OPS. On the other hand, Ruiz has shown his prowess with a 1.125 OPS in the last week.

According to the current odds, the Yankees are the clear favorites with a moneyline of -210, giving them a 65% implied win probability. The Athletics, as underdogs, have a moneyline of +180 and a 35% implied win probability.

Given the Yankees' strong record, impressive pitching, and average offensive performance, they have the upper hand in this game. However, baseball is unpredictable, and the Athletics, with some standout performances from Blackburn and Ruiz, may provide some resistance. It should be an intriguing matchup between these two teams as they battle it out on the diamond.

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Paul Blackburn will tally an average of 15.2 outs in today's outing.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

The Oakland Athletics bullpen ranks as the 10th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Austin Wells is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Oakland (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).

• This player's skill set matches up well with the opposing team's defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

In today's matchup, Juan Soto is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (94th percentile).

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 127 games (+11.88 Units / 8% ROI)

Athletics vs Yankees Prediction: Athletics 3.45 - Yankees 4.62

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