Oakland Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 6/26/2024

Oakland Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels Details

• Date: June 26, 2024
• Venue: Angel Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Joey Estes - Athletics
  • Roansy Contreras - Angels

Betting Odds

Oakland Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Oakland Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Angels and the Oakland Athletics are set to clash on June 26, 2024, at Angel Stadium in what promises to be a close American League West matchup. Both teams have struggled mightily this season, with the Angels posting a 32-46 record and the Athletics not far behind at 29-53. Despite their poor overall performance, the Angels have a slight edge in this series, as they won the previous game between these two teams.

The Angels will send Roansy Contreras to the mound. Contreras has made 20 appearances out of the bullpen this year and will be making his first start. His 4.03 ERA is decent, but his underlying stats suggest he has been somewhat fortunate, as evidenced by his 4.58 xFIP. THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, forecasts Contreras to pitch just 3.1 innings while allowing 1.6 earned runs on average, suggesting a short and potentially shaky outing.

On the flip side, the Athletics will counter with Joey Estes, who has a 5.97 ERA over eight starts. Although his ERA is dreadful, his 4.75 xFIP indicates some bad luck, and he might perform better moving forward. However, the projections aren’t optimistic about his immediate future, expecting him to pitch 4.8 innings and allow 3.0 earned runs.

On offense, the Angels hold an average ranking, sitting 17th in overall offensive power. They are 14th in home runs and 10th in stolen bases, showcasing a balanced attack. Taylor Ward has been a bright spot recently, hitting .357 with a 1.113 OPS over the last week. The Athletics, however, rank 26th in offense, with their only strength being home runs, where they rank 7th. Miguel Andujar has been their best hitter over the past week, batting .364.

Bullpen performance could be a decisive factor in this game. The Angels’ bullpen is ranked 30th, while the Athletics’ bullpen is ranked 2nd, potentially giving Oakland an edge in the later innings. Betting markets and THE BAT X both project this to be a tight game, with the Angels having a 52% implied win probability and the projections giving them a 53% chance to win. Given Oakland's superior bullpen, this game could very well come down to which team can manage to hold on in the late innings.

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Joey Estes in the 25th percentile among all SPs in the game.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Tyler Nevin has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Oakland Athletics' bullpen ranks as the 2nd-best among all major league teams.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Los Angeles Angels:

In today's game, Logan O'Hoppe is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.5% rate (94th percentile).

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.50 Units / 19% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+15.05 Units / 39% ROI)

Oakland Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Final Score: Oakland Athletics 4.81 vs Los Angeles Angels 4.92

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