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Oakland Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks 8/29/2024
- Date: August 29, 2024
- Venue: Great American Ball Park
- Starting Pitchers:
- J.T. Ginn - Athletics
- Julian Aguiar - Reds
Betting Odds
Moneyline: | Athletics 115, Reds -135 |
Runline: | Athletics 1.5 -175, Reds -1.5 150 |
Over/Under Total: | 10 -110 |
Oakland Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds Win Probabilities
Implied Win %: | Projected Win %: |
Oakland Athletics - 45% | Oakland Athletics - 52.17% |
Cincinnati Reds - 55% | Cincinnati Reds - 47.83% |
Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.
Oakland Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
As the Cincinnati Reds host the Oakland Athletics on August 29, 2024, both teams are seeking to turn around disappointing seasons. The Reds sit at 63-70, while the Athletics trail with a 58-75 record. Neither team is in contention for a playoff spot, but that only adds to the urgency of finishing strong.
In yesterday's matchup, which was the second game of the series, the Athletics managed to secure a victory. As they look to build on that momentum, they'll face Reds starter Julian Aguiar, who has a mixed bag of results this season. With an ERA of 3.60, Aguiar has shown flashes of potential, but his 5.74 xFIP suggests he may have been lucky thus far. He’s projected to pitch around 4.8 innings, allowing approximately 3.1 earned runs. However, he struggles against a powerful Athletics offense that ranks 4th in home runs this season.
On the other side, the Athletics will send out J.T. Ginn, who has yet to start a game this year but has demonstrated promise out of the bullpen with a stellar 2.45 ERA. Nevertheless, Ginn’s 3.85 xFIP hints that he might also be riding a wave of good fortune. He’s projected to pitch about 4.5 innings, allowing around 2.7 earned runs while facing a Reds lineup that ranks 5th in strikeouts.
Interestingly, the projections suggest the Athletics have a better chance of winning than the betting markets imply, providing potential value for those looking to back them. With a Game Total set at a high 10.0 runs, bettors should keep an eye on both offenses, particularly as the Reds have averaged 5.25 runs in similar matchups. Expect a close contest as both teams vie to finish the series on a high note.
Oakland Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Final Score: Oakland Athletics 5.84 vs Cincinnati Reds 5.29
For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.
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J.T. Ginn
J. Aguiar
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