Oakland Athletics at New York Yankees Pick & Prediction – 4/24/2024

Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees Overview

• Date: April 24, 2024
• Venue: Yankee Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Joe Boyle - Athletics
  • Clarke Schmidt - Yankees
• Run Line: Athletics 1.5 -110, Yankees -1.5 -110
• Money Line: Athletics 185, Yankees -220
• Total (Over/Under): 8.5

Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• Oakland Athletics - 34%
• New York Yankees - 66%

Projected Win %:

• Oakland Athletics - 31.78%
• New York Yankees - 68.22%

Oakland Athletics vs New York Yankees Game Preview & Prediction

The New York Yankees are set to host the Oakland Athletics in an American League matchup on April 24, 2024, at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees, with a record of 16-8 this season, are having a great season, while the Athletics, with a record of 9-15, are struggling.

On the mound, the Yankees are projected to start right-handed pitcher Clarke Schmidt, who has been performing above average according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings. Schmidt has started four games this year, with a win/loss record of 1-0 and an ERA of 3.15. However, his 4.19 xERA suggests that he may have been lucky and could perform worse going forward.

The Athletics, on the other hand, are projected to start right-handed pitcher Joe Boyle, who has been one of the worst pitchers in MLB according to our Power Rankings. Boyle has started four games this year, with a win/loss record of 1-3 and an ERA of 7.23. However, his 4.68 xFIP indicates that he has been unlucky and could perform better in the future.

In terms of offense, the Yankees rank as the 15th best team in MLB this season, with an average ranking. However, they rank 29th in team batting average, indicating room for improvement. They do rank 8th in team home runs, showcasing their power. On the other hand, the Athletics have struggled offensively, ranking as the 28th best team in MLB and last in team batting average. However, they excel in stolen bases, ranking 5th in the league.

The Yankees have a solid bullpen, ranked 11th best in MLB according to our Power Rankings, while the Athletics' bullpen ranks 21st. This could give the Yankees an advantage in late-game situations.

Based on the current odds, the Yankees are the favorites with a moneyline of -210 and an implied win probability of 65%. The Athletics, as underdogs, have a moneyline of +180 and an implied win probability of 35%.

Overall, the Yankees have the advantage in this matchup, with a strong record, a better starting pitcher, and a more potent offense. However, baseball is an unpredictable sport, and anything can happen on any given day.

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

Joe Boyle's 95.9-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 96th percentile out of all SPs.

• Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Noda in the 12th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player's ability to generate hits.

The Oakland Athletics bullpen grades out as the 9th-worst in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes New York Yankees:

Tallying 83.3 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Clarke Schmidt falls in the 20th percentile.

• Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Joe Boyle.

• Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 5th-deepest CF fences today.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games at home (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 64 games (+9.13 Units / 12% ROI)

Athletics vs Yankees Prediction: Athletics 3.55 - Yankees 5.03

Get daily MLB picks here.