Oakland Athletics at Kansas City Royals Pick For 5/19/2024

Oakland Athletics vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick, Prediction & Preview

• Date: May 19, 2024
• Venue: Kauffman Stadium
• Starting Pitchers:
  • JP Sears - Athletics
  • Brady Singer - Royals

Betting Odds

Oakland Athletics vs Kansas City Royals Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Oakland Athletics vs Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

In a highly anticipated American League matchup, the Kansas City Royals will face off against the Oakland Athletics at Kauffman Stadium on May 19, 2024. The Royals, with a record of 28-19, are having a great season, while the Athletics, with a record of 19-29, are struggling.

The Royals, as the home team, will have the advantage of playing in familiar territory. The game is the third in the series between these two teams, and both will be looking to secure a win.

The Royals are projected to start Brady Singer, a talented right-handed pitcher. Singer has been impressive this season with a win/loss record of 3-2 and an excellent ERA of 2.84. However, peripheral indicators such as SIERA, xERA, and FIP suggest that Singer may have been lucky and could perform worse going forward.

On the other hand, the Athletics are projected to start JP Sears, a left-handed pitcher who has struggled this season. Sears has a record of 3-2 but an ERA of 3.96, which is considered good. However, his xFIP indicates that he may have been lucky and could potentially perform worse in future games.

Looking at the offensive rankings, the Royals have an average offense, ranking 16th in MLB. They have been particularly successful in stealing bases, ranking 4th in the league. Meanwhile, the Athletics have a struggling offense, ranking 26th in MLB. They have the lowest team batting average in the league and are near the bottom in terms of home runs.

When it comes to the bullpen, both teams rank poorly. The Royals have the 25th-best bullpen, while the Athletics have the 26th-best bullpen in MLB, according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings.

In terms of betting odds, the Royals are the favorites with a moneyline of -170, implying a 61% chance of winning. The Athletics are considered underdogs with a moneyline of +150 and a 39% chance of winning.

Quick Takes Oakland Athletics:

The Oakland Athletics outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team playing today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Extreme flyball hitters like Seth Brown tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brady Singer.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Oakland Athletics' bullpen ranks as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game's runs.

Quick Takes Kansas City Royals:

Because groundball hitters hold a significant advantage over flyball pitchers, Brady Singer and his 49.1% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough position in this matchup squaring off against 1 opposing GB batters.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

Since the start of last season, Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.

• Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Hunter Renfroe pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.74 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+8.75 Units / 45% ROI)

Oakland Athletics vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

Final Score: Oakland Athletics 4.52 vs Kansas City Royals 5.81

For more on today's game check out the comprehensive statistics, betting odds, and trends below. Be sure to check out all our free MLB picks here.